Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/17/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 17, 2023

Venue:  TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -2.5, Jaguars +2.5; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -2.5, Jaguars +2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -2.5, Jaguars +2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  0-1 (2nd place, AFC West)

Jacksonville Jaguars:  1-0 (1st place, AFC South)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 21-10.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 31-21.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Lions 21-20. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 21/39 passes for 226 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Patrick Mahomes led the team in rushing yards with 45. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Trent McDuffie led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Mike Danna led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Colts 31-21. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 24/32 passes for 241 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 77 and 1 TD. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Josh Allen led the defense in sacks with 3. Tyson Campbell came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs were stunned by the Lions on Thursday Night Football in their opening game as they lost by 1 point at home. They were plagued by drops in that game as Mahomes played well but his receivers simply couldn't catch the ball. They will be looking to bounce back with a better game here and the receivers will also be looking to step up in a big way after that embarrassing performance. The Jaguars looked really good in their season opener as they beat the Colts by 10 points and now have their home opener here, but the Jags also struggled at times in that game. They were trailing in that game for some time before finally pulling away with the lead and they also allowed a Colts team with a rookie QB to shred their defense for 21 points. The Chiefs have a much better team than the Colts do and they are going to be upset after losing in their home opener so look for them to bounce back here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.

Chiefs Jaguars Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 34 Jaguars 28.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 2-8 ATS off a non-conference game. 1-5 ATS against AFC South division opponents. 5-1 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 

Jacksonville Jaguars: 22-11 ATS off a road win against a division rival. 8-4 ATS after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 29-19 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 9-5 UNDER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 

Kansas City Chiefs:  B. Thompson (DE) day-to-day - Hamstring. N. Jones (CB) day-to-day - Hand. T. Kelce (TE) day-to-day - Knee. C. Jones (DT) Out indefinitely - Holdout. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. C. Omenihu (DE) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  B. Scherff (OL) day-to-day - Ankle. G. Junior (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. T. Lacy (DE) day-to-day - Hip. A. Johnson (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Smoot (LB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Robinson (OL) Elig Week 5 - Suspension.

“It wasn't feeling right. I wasn't going to put him out there with that, and he was honest with me.” - Andy Reid after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game. 

“We've been together a long time. How does anyone gain experience in this league if they're not given a chance?” - Doug Pederson on Press Taylor calling the plays in his team’s win against the Colts in their last game. 

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  

WR Toney, Kadarius  

WR Moore, Skyy 

TE KELCE, TRAVIS 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah 

WR Ridley, Calvin 

WR Jones, Zay 

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis 

Passing: P. Mahomes (226)

Rushing: P. Mahomes (45)

Receiving: M. Valdes-Scantling (48)

Touchdowns: R. Rice (1)

Passing: T. Lawrence (241)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (77)

Receiving: C. Ridley (101)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (1)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)