by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 01, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -6, Packers +6; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -6, Packers +6; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -6, Packers +6; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 8-3 (1st place, AFC West)
Green Bay Packers: 5-6 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 31-17.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 29-22.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 31-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 27/34 passes for 298 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 2 TDs. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 29-22. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 22/32 passes for 268 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 43. Christian Watson led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jonathan Owens led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Rashan Gary led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Chiefs vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked really good this season with their 8-3 record overall and they have been even better in their road games this season with their 4-1 road record and 1 win at a neutral site. Meanwhile, the Packers haven't looked great in their games with their 5-6 record overall. The Packers are coming off a win against the Lions on Thanksgiving Thursday and they looked good in that win but they are still missing some important players in their offense which is going to hurt them here. The Chiefs haven't looked great over the last few weeks as they have stumbled a few times but they bounced back in their last game against the Raiders with a double digit road win. The Chiefs will be looking to do the same here since they have a much better team and with 3 losses on the season already, the Chiefs now have the motivation to go on a run and not lose another game this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 28 Packers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 3-6 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 1-6 ATS off a double digit road win. 6-15 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 8-3 UNDER as a favorite.
Green Bay Packers: 8-4 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. 23-13 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 10-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 14-6 UNDER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 8-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: L. Sneed (CB) Prob Sun - Knee. D. Smith (OT) Prob Sun - Neck. R. Rice (WR) Prob Sun - Foot. S. Moore (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. B. Cook (S) Prob Sun - Bicep. N. Bolton (LB) Ques Sun - Wrist. K. Toney (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. J. McKinnon (RB) Ques Sun - Groin. M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. J. Ross (WR) Out indefinitely - Personal. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.
Green Bay Packers: K. Nixon (CB) Prob Sun - Wrist. R. Rochell (DB) Ques Sun - Calf. R. Gary (LB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. K. Clark (DL) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Reed (WR) Ques Sun - Chest. A. Dillon (RB) Ques Sun - Groin. E. Stokes (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Campbell (LB) Ques Sun - Neck. J. Deguara (TE) Ques Sun - Hip. D. Wicks (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Ford (S) Ques Sun - Bicep. J. Alexander (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Savage (S) Ques Sun - Calf. E. Wilson (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Musgrave (TE) Out indefinitely - Kidney. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We still have stuff to learn from this game. There were some situations where we didn't execute at a high enough offensive level, but we obviously took a step in a positive direction. Now it's just continuing to do that throughout the rest of the season.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Raiders in their last game.
“It was something we put in this week that we thought was going to work. We were confident in it.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Moore, Skyy
WR Watson, Justin
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (2917)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (669)
Receiving: T. Kelce (732)
Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (6)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2599)
Rushing: A. Dillon (448)
Receiving: J. Reed (497)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (7)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
