Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/29/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 26, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue:  Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -7, Broncos +7; Over/Under:  46 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -7, Broncos +7; Over/Under:  46 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -7, Broncos +7; Over/Under:  46 points

Season Record

Kansas City Chiefs:  6-1 (1st place, AFC West)
Denver Broncos:  2-5 (4th place, AFC West)

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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 31-17.
Denver Broncos:  won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 19-17.


Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis


The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the LA Chargers 31-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 32/42 passes for 424 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 32. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 179 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mike Danna, Willie Gay Jr, Drue Tranquill, Charles Omenihu, and George Karlaftis each led the defense in sacks with 1. L'Jarius Sneed and Bryan Cook each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Broncos are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 19-17. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 194 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 82. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. P.J. Locke came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs are 6-1 overall this season and their offense is finally starting to click like their defense has been all year. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season but with their offense starting to put up more points now and find a rhythm, they are looking unstoppable. Meanwhile, the Broncos have been terrible this season with their 2-5 record overall and they have looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL with the way they have played in all of their games. They barely won the 2 games they did and they also just lost to this Chiefs team the other week. The Chiefs are starting to roll on both sides of the ball here and the Broncos won't be able to stop them even being at home in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.

Chiefs Broncos Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 34 Broncos 17.
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NFL Betting Trends


Kansas City Chiefs: 9-4 ATS off a division game. 6-2 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 9-5 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 7-2 UNDER after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games. 18-10 UNDER after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts.

Denver Broncos: 16-24 ATS in all games. 5-9 ATS versus division opponents. 5-12 ATS after playing a game at home. 19-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 13-6 UNDER as an underdog. 26-15 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Chiefs:  N. Bolton (LB) Late Dec - Wrist. J. Watson (WR) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. R. James (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Denver Broncos:  J. Simmons (S) Ques Sun - Hip. D. Washington (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. K. Jackson (S) Elig Week 10 - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (T) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.

Notable Quotes


“I think both Kelce and Pat, when they're on the same page, that's a challenge for any defense.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game. 


“We're never happy. You know, we work hard, we want it. ... I'm happy we won, I am. I think I was happier before I came in here.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Chiefs
WR Moore, Skyy   
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  
WR Rice, Rashee 
TE KELCE, TRAVIS 
QB Mahomes, Patrick 
RB Pacheco, Isiah

Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Johnson, Brandon   
WR Jeudy, Jerry 
TE Trautman, Adam 
QB WILSON, RUSSELL 
RB Williams, Javonte 
FB BURTON, MICHAEL

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (2017)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (419)
Receiving: T. Kelce (525)
Touchdowns: T. Kelce (4)

Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (1499)
Rushing: J. Williams (272)
Receiving: C. Sutton (351)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (5)

Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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