Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/08/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Jan 04, 2022
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Saturday, January 8, 2022
Venue:  Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -10, Broncos +10; Over/Under:  44 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -10, Broncos +10; Over/Under:  43.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -10, Broncos +10; Over/Under:  43.5 points
 

Season Record

Kansas City Chiefs:  11-5 (1st place, AFC West)
Denver Broncos:  7-9 (4th place, AFC West)
 
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs:  lost on the road on January 2 against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-31.
Denver Broncos:  lost on the road on January 2 against the Los Angeles Chargers 34-13.
 
 
 

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

The KC Chiefs are coming into this NFL game with an 11-5 record overall and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th and final divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 4-1 in their division games this season but they have already locked up their division and will be going to the playoffs. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped an 8 game winning streak that they were on. Their 8 wins in that span were against the New York Giants, the Green Bay Packers, the Las Vegas Raiders, the Dallas Cowboys, the Denver Broncos, the Raiders again, the Los Angeles Chargers, and the Pittsburgh Steelers while their loss came against the Cincinnati Bengals in their last game. Patrick Mahomes II completed 26/35 passes for 259 yards and 2 touchdowns in that one. Darrel Williams led the team in rushing with 88 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Mecole Hardman led the receivers with 53 yards on 1 reception while Tyreek Hill led the team in receptions with 6 for 40 yards. Demarcus Robinson and Travis Kelce both caught 1 touchdown pass each in that one. Rashad Fenton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles. Chris Jones led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 452 points in their 16 games this season averaging 28.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 340 points against them allowing 21.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 397.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 369.3 YPG.
 
 

Denver Broncos Analysis

The Broncos are coming into this game with a 7-9 record overall and they are 4-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th and final divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 1-4 in their division games this NFL season but they have already been eliminated from making it to the postseason. Their last win was against the Detroit Lions but they have gone on a 3 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Cincinnati Bengals, the Las Vegas Raiders, and the Los Angeles Chargers in their last game. Drew Lock completed 18/25 passes for 245 yards and 1 touchdown. Melvin Gordon led the team in rushing with 43 yards on 10 carries while Javonte Williams led the team in carries with 14 for 30 yards. Noah Fant led the receivers with 92 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions while Courtland Sutton had 60 yards on 3 receptions. Kareem Jackson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 311 points in their 16 games this season averaging 19.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 294 points against them allowing 18.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 328.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 322.1 YPG.
 
 

 

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction

The Chiefs are coming into this game as a 10 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have already clinched their division and will be going to the playoffs but they still have a reason to play in this game. They still have a chance to win the number 1 seed in the AFC if they win as long as the Titans lose their game. The Broncos have been very bad in their last few games to close out the season. They have a lot of great pieces on their team but they are not moving the ball well on offense or scoring points because they do not have a good enough quarterback that can utilize this offense. Until they find one they will not be able to keep up in these games against teams like the Chiefs who have found their offense recently and scored 31 points in their last game which was even a loss. The best wager for bettors to place in this game is on the Chiefs to cover the spread here as they will be able to score points while the Broncos struggle to move the ball. 
 
Chiefs Broncos Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, Jan 8, 2022 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 34 Broncos 7.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Kansas City Chiefs: 1-6 O/U as a favorite of 10 or more points. 4-7 O/U off 2 or more consecutive overs. 4-8 O/U after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. 2-6 O/U off an upset loss as a favorite. 1-6 O/U after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Denver Broncos: 4-12 O/U in all games. 1-5 O/U as an underdog. 2-6 O/U in home games. 3-8 O/U against conference opponents. 6-11 O/U versus division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas City Chiefs:  M. Remmers (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. J. Kaindoh (DE) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. C. Edwards-Helaire (RB) Ques Sat - Collarbone injury.
Denver Broncos:  B. McManus (K) Out indefinitely - Illness. S. Martin (P) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Lock (QB) Prob Sat - Shoulder injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You just go back to work, you don't point fingers. You don't blame coaches, you don't blame a particular player or a particular series, you just go back to work. You keep bonding with your teammates, you keep that chemistry alive and you keep believing in your coaches, as well." - Tyrann Mathieu on their loss against the Bengals in their last game.
 
 
"For me personally, I feel like my No. 1 goal is to win a football game. Taking care of the ball and not winning a football game and a quarter will get you a donut. There's really not much that not winning the game gets you." - Drew Lock after their loss against the Chargers in their last game. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Pringle, Byron
WR Hardman, Mecole 
WR Hill, Tyreek 
TE TRAVIS KELCE 
QB Mahomes II, Patrick 
RB Edwards-Helaire, Clyde  
FB Burton, Mike 
 
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Patrick, Tim
TE Fant, Noah 
TE Okwuegbunam, Albert
QB Lock, Drew 
RB Williams, Javonte 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (4569)
Rushing: D. Williams (541)
Receiving: T. Hill (1237)
Touchdowns: T. Hill (9)
 
Denver Broncos
Passing: T. Bridgewater (3052)
Rushing: J. Williams (857)
Receiving: C. Sutton (763)
Touchdowns: M. Gordon III (9)
 
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Coach Andy Reid (9th season)
Denver Broncos: Coach Vic Fangio (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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