by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 25, 2025
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Thursday, November 27, 2025
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: CBS, Paramount+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -3.5, Cowboys +3.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -3, Cowboys +3; Over/Under: 52 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -3, Cowboys +3; Over/Under: 52 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-5 (3rd place, AFC West)
Dallas Cowboys: 5-5-1 (2nd place, NFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Al McMordie is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 29-18-1 NFL RUN for +$9,280 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in overtime.
Dallas Cowboys: won their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 24-21.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in OT. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 29/46 passes for 352 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 141 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Trent McDuffie led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 5-5-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1-1 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 24-21. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 23/36 passes for 354 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 87. George Pickens led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Donovan Wilson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Osa Odighizuwa led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 5-5-1 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NFC East in a weaker division. They have also looked a lot better on their home field this year with their 3-1-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 6-5 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the AFC West in a competitive division. They haven't been a good road team either with their 1-3 road record this year. The Chiefs are off a 23-20 win over the Colts in their last one and that win really saved their season since a loss would have put them in a terrible position to even make the playoffs, but they still didn't look great in that win. They were down 20-9 at home before making a big comeback and going on to win, but the Colts had them on the ropes and the Chiefs have looked a lot worse this year in their road games. The Cowboys looked terrible going into their bye week, but they have come out a different team with a lot of issues on defense fixed in their last 2 games. Now they have some momentum with 2 wins in a row and they are going to carry that into this game after pulling off a 21 point comeback win against the defending Super Bowl champions. The Cowboys have definitely looked better lately while the Chiefs have struggled all season, and as bad as the Cowboys have been this year, they still have one of the best offenses in the NFL to keep this game close. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Cowboys Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 27, 2025 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Cowboys 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kansas City Chiefs Dallas Cowboys prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 8-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. 10-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 10-2 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less.
Dallas Cowboys: 4-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-8 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 1-5 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 7-4 UNDER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Groin. J. Taylor (OT) Injured - Knee. N. Gray (TE) Injured - Concussion. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Ankle. I. Pacheco (RB) Injured - Knee. R. Rice (WR) Injured - Hamstring. G. Karlaftis (DL) Injured - Thumb. L. Chenal (LB) Injured - Knee. C. Roland-Wallace (CB) Injured - Back. X. Worthy (WR) Injured - Ankle.
Dallas Cowboys: D. Fowler Jr. (DL) Injured - Shoulder. J. Clowney (DL) Injured - Neck. M. Hooker (S) Injured - Toe. S. Thomas (DL) Injured - Calf. J. Houston (DL) Injured - Wrist. K. Turpin (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Wilson (S) Injured - Neck. O. Odighizuwa (DL) Injured - Elbow. G. Pickens (WR) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Knee. H. Luepke (RB) Injured - Hip. D. Bland (CB) Injured - Wrist. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“The part I liked the best was the support the guys gave each other. Nobody flinched. Nobody was hanging their head. It wasn't happening. They came out and they played, and they did it when it counted.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game.
“You’ve heard me say it a thousand times. You can’t win the game in the first quarter, second, third, but you can win the game in the fourth quarter. I told them, ‘Believe. Believe in each other and believe in the fact that we’ll find a way to do it.’” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s win against the Eagles in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Brown, Hollywood
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Hunt, Kareem
Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Lamb, CeeDee
WR Flournoy, Ryan
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: Patrick Mahomes (2,977)
Rushing: Kareem Hunt (457)
Receiving: Travis Kelce (674)
Touchdowns: Kareem Hunt (8)
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (2,941)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (896)
Receiving: George Pickens (1,054)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (9)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (13th season)
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
