Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/28/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 22, 2024
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 28, 2024
Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3, Ravens -3; Over/Under:  44.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3.5, Ravens -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3.5, Ravens -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Season Record

Kansas City Chiefs:  11-6 (1st place, AFC West)
Baltimore Ravens:  13-4 (1st place, AFC North)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Matt Fargo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 16-7 NFL RUN for +$8,170 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 27-24.
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Houston Texans 34-10.


Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis


The Chiefs are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills 27-24 in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 215 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Justin Reid led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Ravens are entering this game with a 13-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 34-10 in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 16/22 passes for 152 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Lamar Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 2 TDs. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Chiefs vs Ravens Prediction

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall and they have looked a lot better in their games lately after struggling a bit through the middle of the season. They have looked better in their road games all season too with their 6-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked great in their games this season with their 13-4 record overall which is the number 1 seed in the AFC and also the best record in the entire NFL this year. The Ravens are also 6-3 in their home games and won their playoff game there by 24 points last week, but this time they aren't facing the Texans. The Ravens have definitely looked like the best team in the NFL this season the way they finished the season and they also have one of the best defenses in the league. Defense has also been a strength of the Chiefs this season though and as much as they have struggled this year, the Chiefs have looked a lot better lately, Mahomes winning his 1st playoff road game in their last one, and this is still the defending Super Bowl champions here too. The Ravens have looked great at home all season but the Chiefs still have a ton of talent with Mahomes at QB and they will fight to keep this game within a field goal if they can't win it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 28, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Ravens 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kansas City Chiefs Baltimore Ravens prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

NFL Betting Trends


Kansas City Chiefs: 13-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-4 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 6-3 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 13-6 UNDER in all games. 6-1 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-1 UNDER after a win by 3 or less points.

Baltimore Ravens: 9-17 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 4-10 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 3-13 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game. 24-13 UNDER as a favorite. 17-9 UNDER in playoff games. 17-4 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Chiefs:  S. Moore (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Knee. K. Toney (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Hip. W. Morris (OL) Ques Jan 28 - Concussion. D. Nnadi (DT) Ques Jan 28 - Tricep. W. Gay (LB) Ques Jan 28 - Neck. M. Edwards (S) Ques Jan 28 - Concussion. C. Jones (LB) I-R - Chest. N. Remigio (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. McKinnon (RB) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Cook (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Baltimore Ravens:  M. Humphrey (CB) Ques Jan 28 - Calf. T. Wallace (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Knee. D. Phillips (LB) Ques Jan 28 - Shoulder. M. Andrews (TE) Ques Jan 28 - Ankle. D. Williams (CB) I-R - Undisclosed. D. Worley (CB) I-R - Head. J. Armour-Davis (CB) I-R - Concussion. M. Hamm (LB) I-R - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) I-R - Knee. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“First of all, this is a great environment, man. It really is. We did hear it all week, man, about playing a road game, and we’re here to prove a point and show that we can play anywhere.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Bills in their last game. 


“Our fans are going to get a chance to cheer just as loud or louder than they did in this game, and they were amazing. I thought our fans were incredible. Man, it was deafening out there.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Chiefs
WR Watson, Justin
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez 
WR Rice, Rashee 
TE Kelce, Travis 
QB Mahomes, Patrick 
RB Pacheco, Isiah

Baltimore Ravens
WR Beckham JR., Odell
WR Bateman, Rashod 
WR Flowers, Zay 
TE Likely, Isaiah 
QB Jackson, Lamar 
RB Edwards, Gus  
FB Ricard, Patrick

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (4183)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (935)
Receiving: T. Kelce (984)
Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (9)

Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (3678)
Rushing: L. Jackson (821)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (858)
Touchdowns: G. Edwards (13)

Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.