Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/15/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 15, 2026

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3.5, Falcons +3.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3.5, Falcons +3.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3.5, Falcons +3.5; Over/Under:  45 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  6-2 (2nd place, AFC West)

Atlanta Falcons:  3-6 (4th place, NFC South)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game at home against the New York Jets 35-12.

Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-17.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 35-12. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 242 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Drue Tranquill led the defense in that game with 13 solo tackles while George Karlaftis and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-17. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 162 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 1 TD. Drake London led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jessie Bates III led the defense in that game with 14 solo tackles while LaCale London and Zach Harrison each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Falcons haven't looked good in their games this season with their 3-6 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC South. They haven't looked good on their home field either with their 1-3 home record this season. The Falcons have been really up and down all season and they aren't going to be in a great situation for this game. They had a terrible start to the season looking like one of the worst teams in the NFL with no QB and then they went on a hot streak with Penix coming back to the lineup, but now they have been having lots of trouble again. They have lost 2 games in a row now and they are coming off a 34-17 loss to the Bengals in Spain in their last one. They made the decision to not take their bye week either, so they are playing the very next week after coming back from Spain and teams haven't done well in that situation. The Chiefs have looked like one of the best teams in the NFL again though and they just bounced back after losing 2 games in a row. They lost to 2 very good teams, but they are coming off a 35-12 win over the Jets in their last one and they are getting another bad team here. The Chiefs have looked a lot better on defense lately as they haven't been giving up a lot of points and their offense has looked better than ever this season with a real rushing attack thanks to Kenneth Walker. Look for the Chiefs to continue rolling here with the Falcons in a bad situation coming back from Spain. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 15, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Falcons 19.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 18-26 ATS in all games. 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 2-6 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 5-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 14-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 15-7 UNDER after playing a game at home.

Atlanta Falcons: 8-4 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 5-2 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 4-0 UNDER against AFC West division opponents. 7-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 9-4 UNDER in non-conference games. 

Kansas City Chiefs:  None.

Atlanta Falcons:  None.

“You're coming off two losses there, and I felt like we had a good week of practice, and they didn't hang their heads. My hat goes off to the guys.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game. 

“We were not good enough, we have to do better. We just were not at our best. And if you’re not at your best versus a good team, you’re not going to win.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game. 

WR Royals, Jalen

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Rice, Rashee

TE Kelce, Travis

QB Mahomes, Patrick

RB Walker, Kenneth

FB VanSumeren, Ben

WR London, Drake

WR Dotson, Jahan

WR Zaccheaus, Olamide

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (2,037)

Rushing: Kenneth Walker III (872)

Receiving: Travis Kelce (482)

Touchdowns: Kenneth Walker III (11)

Passing: Michael Penix Jr. (1,444)

Rushing: Bijan Robinson (880)

Receiving: Drake London (692)

Touchdowns: Bijan Robinson (6)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (14th season)

Atlanta Falcons: Kevin Stefanski (1st season)