Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/04/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Venue:  Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  JSU +4.5, MTSU -4.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  JSU +4.5, MTSU -4.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  JSU +4.5, MTSU -4.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  4-1 (2-0) (2nd place, C-USA)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  1-4 (0-1) (7th place, C-USA)

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Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  won their last game on the road against the Sam Houston State Bearkats in overtime 35-28.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  lost their last game on the road against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 31-10.

Jacksonville State is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Sam Houston State in OT 35-28. Logan Smothers was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 197 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Malik Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 129 and 1 TD. Mike Pettway led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Fred Perry led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Middle Tennessee State is entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Western Kentucky 31-10. Nicholas Vattiato was the starting QB and he completed 27/45 passes for 252 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Frank Peasant led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 1 TD. Justin Olson led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Tra Fluellen led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Tra Fluellen came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Jacksonville State listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Jacksonville State is having a great season for their 1st time playing in FBS as they are 4-1 this season and already off to a 2-0 start in conference play. They pulled off a big comeback win on the road against Sam Houston in their last game and they are going to have the momentum on their side here. Middle Tennessee State has been having the opposite kind of season as they are 1-4 this year and already 0-1 in their conference games too. They have struggled a lot in their games and their offense hasn't been able to put up many points either. Jacksonville State has a really fast offense that is going to be tough for this struggling MTSU team to stop when they already don't have a great team this year. JSU is also out to prove a point with this being their 1st season in FBS so they are going to be really locked in to every game this year. Jacksonville State has been playing a lot better than Middle Tennessee in their games lately so take the points with the better team on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on Jacksonville State to cover the spread in this game.

Jacksonville State Middle Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, October 4, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is JSU 24 MTSU 17.

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Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 4-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 6-2 UNDER in all games. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog. 5-0 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 1-4 ATS in all games. 6-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 8-14 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts. 21-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 20-10 UNDER off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. 

Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  R. Wiggins (RB) Mid Nov - Chest.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  None.

“Were you not entertained? Were you not entertained? When we can make so many mistakes and come back to win a game like this, it’s really neat. At halftime, I told the guys, ‘We don’t talk about the past. Don’t talk about the future. Just play every play,’ and they did that.” - Rich Rodriguez after his team’s win against SHSU in their last game. 

"We did some good things, but not consistent enough on either side of the ball to get a win against a good team like them. It was disappointing, frustrating. But there's a lot of games left. A lot of conference left." - Rick Stockstill after his team’s loss against WKU in their last game. 

WR Lane, Quinton 

WR Pettway, Michael 

WR Galban, Sterling 

TE Brown, Sean 

QB Smothers, Logan 

RB Jackson, Malik 

WR Sherman, Javonte

WR England-Chisolm, DJ 

WR Metcalf, Elijah 

WR Willis, Holden 

QB Vattiato, Nicholas 

RB Credle, Jaiden 

Passing: L. Smothers (474)

Rushing: M. Jackson (505)

Receiving: P. Carter (166)

Touchdowns: L. Smothers (5)

Passing: N. Vattiato (1163)

Rushing: J. Credle (227)

Receiving: E. Metcalf (235)

Touchdowns: J. Middlebrook (2)

Coaches:

Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Rich Rodriguez (2nd season)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Rick Stockstill (18th season)