Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/24/2023

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, December 24, 2023

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jags +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jags +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jags +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  8-6 (1st place, AFC South)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  7-7 (1st place, NFC South)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 23-7.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 34-20.

The Jaguars are entering this game with an 8-6 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 23-7. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 25/43 passes for 264 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Trevor Lawrence led the team in rushing yards with 41. Jamal Agnew led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Andrew Wingard led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Rayshawn Jenkins, Travon Walker, and Adam Gotsis each led the defense in sacks with 1. Rayshawn Jenkins came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 7-7 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 34-20. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 22/28 passes for 381 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 89. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 155 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Antoine Winfield Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Anthony Nelson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have looked really good this season with their 8-6 record overall but lately they haven't looked great. They have been in a slump lately and have been slipping in their division as they did have a big lead in the AFC South but are now tied with 2 other teams at 8-6. They are going to be looking to bounce back in this game as they need a win badly to stop the bleeding and retake control of the division. They have looked a lot better in their road games too with their 4-1 road record and even went 2-0 in London too. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also looked good with their 7-7 record overall which leads the NFC South at the moment. They have looked a lot better in their games lately as they are starting to surge toward the playoffs now, but this could also be a bit of a look ahead for them. Whether they win this game or not really doesn't matter as the division is theirs if they beat the Saints next week. With the way the Jags have looked lately, this could be a spot where the Bucs overlook a desperate Jags team that needs to win this game. The Jags still have the talent to win the AFC South and make a playoff run so they are going to throw everything they have at the Bucs here to try and win this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 24, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 27 Buccaneers 24.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 18-30 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 7-16 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 4-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 9-5 UNDER after a loss by 10 or more points. 10-3 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9-5 ATS in all games. 9-3 ATS off a road win. 52-34 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 14-6 UNDER off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. 10-5 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 

Jacksonville Jaguars:  Z. Jones (WR) Doub Sun - Hamstring. C. Braswell (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Campbell (CB) Ques Sun - Quadricep. B. Strange (TE) Ques Sun - Foot. A. Cisco (S) Ques Sun - Groin. T. Lawrence (QB) Ques Sun - Concussion. Y. Abdullah (LB) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Kirk (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Robinson (OL) Mid Jan - Knee. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  R. Jarrett (WR) Ques Sun - Quadricep. C. Godwin (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. D. White (LB) Ques Sun - Foot. C. Davis III (CB) Ques Sun - Groin. R. Neal (S) Ques Sun - Leg. W. Gholston (DL) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Hayes (DB) Ques Sun - Illness. M. Greene (DL) Out indefinitely - Calf. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

“That's the head-scratcher. That's the frustrating part. We can't get out of our own way and that's the frustrating part." - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game. 

“He's meant everything, from a mental standpoint to a quarterback standpoint making plays, from a toughness standpoint, from a leadership standpoint. He's done everything. He's checked all the boxes. He's doing all the right things now. I can't say enough about him.” - Todd Bowles on Baker Mayfield after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game. 

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Jones, Zay

WR Washington, Parker  

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

WR Evans, Mike 

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Palmer, Trey

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad

Passing: T. Lawrence (3525)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (837)

Receiving: C. Kirk (787)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (10)

Passing: B. Mayfield (3315)

Rushing: R. White (834)

Receiving: M. Evans (1077)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (11)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)