Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/29/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jags -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under:  42 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jags -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under:  42 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jags -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under:  42 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  5-2 (1st place, AFC South)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  4-2 (2nd place, AFC North)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 31-24.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 24-17.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 31-24. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 204 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Trevor Lawrence led the team in rushing yards with 59. Christian Kirk led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Dawuane Smoot led the defense in sacks with 1. Foyesade Oluokun came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the LA Rams 24-17. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 230 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 53 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Larry Ogunjobi and Nick Herbig each led the defense in sacks with 1. T. J. Watt came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars are 5-2 this season and have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have won 3 games in a row now and have looked better and better on both sides of the ball in each game. The Steelers have also been having a good season with their 4-2 record overall but they haven't really looked good in their games, specifically on offense, and they have won a lot of ugly games as a result. The Steelers have a really good defense but their offense has struggled and they are not going to have an easy time against the Jags defense which has been a lot better lately. The Jaguars also have a big edge on offense even with Lawrence banged up and they are going to roll through Pittsburgh as they are getting hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game.

Jaguars Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 27 Steelers 14.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-11 ATS after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games. 4-8 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. 13-3 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games. 8-4 UNDER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 13-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 24-15 ATS as a home underdog. 8-3 ATS off a non-conference game. 25-16 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 9-4 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  G. Junior (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. Z. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) day-to-day - Back. W. Little (OL) day-to-day - Knee. T. Campbell (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. C. Braswell (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Washington (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  A. McFarland Jr. (RB) day-to-day - Knee. P. Freiermuth (TE) Mid Nov - Hamstring. C. Heyward (DT) Mid Nov - Groin. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

“It’s crazy how you have something like that going on and don’t plan on moving a lot, and you end up running the ball more than you usually do. It felt pretty good. It didn’t bother me too much and definitely didn’t set it back. That was the goal, to play, find a way to win the game and not set it back." - Trevor Lawrence after their win against the Saints in their last game. 

“We understand as a defense, we need to bow up in big-time moments and just try to change the tide of the game. We just want to get that spark so it allows us to get going. We don’t want to be that team that starts games slow, starts second halves slow.” - T.J. Watt after their win against the LA Rams in their last game. 

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Jones, Zay

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

WR Johnson, Diontae  

WR Pickens, George 

WR ROBINSON II, ALLEN 

TE Washington, Darnell 

QB Pickett, Kenny 

RB Harris, Najee

Passing: T. Lawrence (1643)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (504)

Receiving: C. Kirk (474)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (7)

Passing: K. Pickett (1257)

Rushing: N. Harris (300)

Receiving: G. Pickens (500)

Touchdowns: P. Freiermuth (2)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)