Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/19/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, October 19, 2023

Venue:  Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA 

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jags +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  39 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jags +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  39 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jags +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  39 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  4-2 (1st place, AFC South)

New Orleans Saints:  3-3 (3rd place, NFC South)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 37-20.

New Orleans Saints:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 20-13.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 37-20. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 20/30 passes for 181 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 2 TDs. Christian Kirk led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Josh Allen and K'Lavon Chaisson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Andre Cisco, Rayshawn Jenkins, Darious Williams each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Saints are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 20-13. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 32/50 passes for 353 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 68. Chris Olave led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Marshon Lattimore led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Damarion Davis and Carl Granderson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Zack Baun came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints haven't been great this season with their 3-3 record overall but their defense has been keeping them in a lot of their games even when the offense isn't performing well. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have looked a lot better in their last few games now that they have won 3 games in a row but they are also dealing with an injury to their starting QB ahead of this game on a short week. Without Lawrence starting, this is a really different Jags offense and even with Lawrence in there he will struggle against this defense with his knee injury. The Saints offense hasn't been that great but they are still finding ways to move the ball with Carr and they have a ton of talent on their offense too. This is a better spot for the Saints at home on a short week in a game where their defense will show up big. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Saints Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, October 19, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Saints 23 Jaguars 13.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 9-5 ATS after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 4-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. 7-0 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in the last game. 11-3 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.

New Orleans Saints: 6-12 ATS as a favorite. 5-12 ATS in home games. 5-12 ATS in dome games. 27-13 UNDER in all games. 14-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 20-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  T. Lawrence (QB) day-to-day - Knee. Z. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) day-to-day - Back. W. Little (OL) day-to-day - Knee. C. Braswell (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Washington (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. G. Junior (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.

New Orleans Saints:  D. Carr (QB) day-to-day - Shoulder. C. Olave (WR) day-to-day - Toe. L. Johnson Jr. (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Johnson (TE) day-to-day - Calf. L. Young (OT) day-to-day - Hip. J. Gray (DB) day-to-day - Hamstring. A. Prentice (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Williams (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. J. Haener (QB) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.

“I think it’s a glimpse of what we can be. There are still some areas that we have to clean up, obviously. The team really in these last three weeks kind of figured some things out, figured out who we are as a football team. That’s exciting to see. They really embraced that.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game. 

“Just way too many mistakes and way too many missed opportunities.” - Dennis Allen after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game. 

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Jones, Zay

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

WR THOMAS, MICHAEL

WR Shaheed, Rashid  

WR Olave, Chris 

TE Johnson, Juwan 

QB CARR, DEREK 

RB Kamara, Alvin 

Passing: T. Lawrence (1439)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (451)

Receiving: C. Kirk (384)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (5)

Passing: D. Carr (1299)

Rushing: A. Kamara (199)

Receiving: C. Olave (414)

Touchdowns: R. Shaheed (2)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)

New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)