Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/05/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 5, 2025

Venue:  Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +5, Colts -5; Over/Under:  44 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +4.5, Colts -4.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +5, Colts -5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  4-12 (3rd place, AFC South)

Indianapolis Colts:  7-9 (2nd place, AFC South)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 20-13.

Indianapolis Colts:  lost their last game on the road against the New York Giants 45-33.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 4-12 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-13. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 15/22 passes for 174 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 49. Brian Thomas Jr. led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Andre Cisco led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Josh Hines-Allen, Maason Smith, and Travon Walker each led the defense in sacks with 1. Devin Lloyd came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Colts are entering this game with a 7-9 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 3-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 45-33. Joe Flacco was the starting QB and he completed 26/38 passes for 330 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 125 and 2 TDs. Alec Pierce led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-12 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC South with one of the worst records in the NFL. They have been dealing with injuries all season and were eliminated from playoff contention weeks ago, but they are coming off a 20-13 win over the Titans last week and are still fighting in their games. Mac Jones has looked better in the offense over the last few weeks and he is still trying to prove himself as a viable QB in this league. Meanwhile, the Colts haven't looked good in their games this season with their 7-9 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC South and eliminated from playoff contention. They were alive in the playoff race going into last week, but a 45-33 loss to the Giants eliminated them so it is going to be tough for them to get off the mat for this last game of the regular season. They are dealing with some injuries too and have Flacco in at QB, but he hasn't looked great in his starts lately either. Neither team has anything to play for here except draft order so this is a pretty meaningless game, but the Jags have been eliminated for a while now and have still been fighting in their games while the Colts were alive up until last week so that disappointment is still going to be looming over them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Colts Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 5, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 23 Colts 20.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 9-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 4-1 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 5-2 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 9-5 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 5-1 OVER in dome games. 7-3 OVER off a win against a division rival.

Indianapolis Colts: 1-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 2-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 5-12 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing  5.65 yards/play or more. 9-3 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 14-7 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 10-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  Y. Abdullah (LB) Questionable - Illness. W. Little (OL) Out - Ankle. V. Miller (LB) Out - Ankle. D. Savage (SAF) Out - Concussion. D. Hamilton (DT) Injured - Illness. B. Scherff (OL) Injured - Knee. B. Strange (TE) Injured - Shoulder. E. Cleveland (OL) Injured - Knee.

Indianapolis Colts:  A. Richardson (QB) Out - Back. J. Brents (CB) Out - Knee. G. Stewart (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Buckner (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. R. Kelly (C) Injured - NIR-Rest. Q. Nelson (G) Questionable - Ankle. M. Pittman (WR) Injured - Back. A. Pierce (WR) Injured - Concussion. E. Speed (LB) Questionable - Knee. J. Jones (CB) Injured - Throat. M. Alie-Cox (TE) Questionable - Toe. J. Carlies (LB) Questionable - Shoulder.

“Brian just keeps impressing each week. You can't say enough good things about Brian.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 

“It's hard to explain. We had to play a complete game. We haven’t done it all year. We have to be on the same page, and to go out there like that is obviously not good enough.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s loss against the Giants in their last game. 

WR Thomas Jr., Brian

WR Reynolds, Josh 

WR Washington, Parker  

TE Strange, Brenton

QB Jones, Mac

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

WR Pierce, Alec 

WR Pittman Jr., Michael 

WR Downs, Josh  

TE Alie-Cox, Mo

QB Flacco, Joe  

RB Taylor, Jonathan

Passing: T. Lawrence (2045)

Rushing: T. Bigsby (727)

Receiving: B. Thomas (1179)

Touchdowns: B. Thomas (10)

Passing: A. Richardson (1814)

Rushing: J. Taylor (1254)

Receiving: A. Pierce (767)

Touchdowns: J. Taylor (11)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (3rd season)

Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)