Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/25/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 25, 2023

Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  7-3 (1st place, AFC South)

Houston Texans:  6-4 (2nd place, AFC South)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 34-14.

Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 21-16.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 34-14. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 24/32 passes for 262 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 52. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Devin Lloyd led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Foyesade Oluokun, Andre Cisco, Travon Walker, and Josh Allen each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Texans are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 21-16. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 27/37 passes for 336 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 112 and 1 TD. Tank Dell led the receivers with 149 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 13 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Blake Cashman and Will Anderson Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Derek Stingley Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans are 6-4 overall this season and they have been a really big surprise this year. CJ Stroud has been having a great season in his rookie year and they have been really good in their home games too, going 4-1 at home this year. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have also looked really good this year with their 7-3 record overall as they lead the division right now. They have also been really good in their road games too as they have a 3-0 road record and 2-0 record at neutral sites. They have been rolling in their games lately but they did lose at home to the Texans earlier this season and they haven't played well against the Texans over the last few years now too. The Texans will also be motivated to win this home game since a win will put them at 7-4 with the Jaguars and they will be right in the race for the AFC South. A loss would put them 2 games behind though so the Texans know they need this home win and they will be motivated against a team they have played so well against for years. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 25, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 34 Jaguars 27.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-1 ATS as a favorite. 7-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 27-19 UNDER in all games. 11-5 UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent. 12-7 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Houston Texans: 19-32 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 4-10 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. 9-2 UNDER after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game. 19-12 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  J. Ledbetter (DL) Prob Sun - Personal. R. Robertson-Harris (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. Z. Jones (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Campbell (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. Y. Abdullah (LB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Agnew (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Braswell (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Houston Texans:  D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. L. Tunsil (OT) Prob Sun - Knee. W. Anderson Jr. (DE) Prob Sun - Knee. H. To'oto'o (LB) Prob Sun - Concussion. D. Pierce (RB) Prob Sun - Ankle. C. Keenum (QB) Ques Sun - Calf. J. Scruggs (C) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Brown (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Hansen (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Ward (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Perryman (LB) Elig Week 13 - Suspension. K. Fairbairn (K) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

“That's one of the cleaner games offensively we’ve played. Seemed like we stayed on schedule, seemed like we kept them on their heels. We did a great job of mixing up all the different shots, getting it out quick, running the ball movements, all that.” - Trevor Lawrence after their win against the Titans in their last game. 

“You’re going to have miscues, you’re going to have bad plays, but it’s all about how you respond to those plays. So we will continue to highlight all the positive things that C.J. is doing. And then we’ll also coach him up on those negative plays.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game.

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Jones, Zay

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

WR Collins, Nico 

WR Dell, Tank  

WR Woods, Robert 

TE Schultz, Dalton 

QB Stroud, C.J. 

RB Pierce, Dameon 

FB Beck, Andrew 

Passing: T. Lawrence (2382)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (670)

Receiving: C. Kirk (672)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (8)

Passing: C. Stroud (2962)

Rushing: D. Singletary (471)

Receiving: N. Collins (696)

Touchdowns: T. Dell (6)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)