by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 24, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jaguars +7, Texans -7; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jaguars +7, Texans -7; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jaguars +7, Texans -7; Over/Under: 45 points
Season Record
Jacksonville Jaguars: 0-3 (3rd place, AFC South)
Houston Texans: 2-1 (1st place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Jacksonville Jaguars: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 47-10.
Houston Texans: lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 34-7.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 47-10. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 21/38 passes for 178 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 68. Christian Kirk led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Antonio Johnson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 34-7. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 215 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Cam Akers led the team in rushing yards with 21. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tim Settle Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Jaguars vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They won their first 2 games of the season, but they are coming off a terrible loss against the Vikings in their last one. They were blown out in that game, but the Vikings have been a big surprise this season with their 3-0 record to start and Minnesota has been a tough place to play for teams. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-3 record overall. They are coming off another bad loss in their last one, losing 47-10 to the Bills in a blow out, and they are in a tougher spot here being on the road with a shorter week from playing on Monday night. The defense has looked decent in their 3 games, but the offense just hasn't looked right and they are struggling to even put drives together. The Texans got blown out last week, but now they are going to be back at home in a divisional game and they are due for a bounce back with the way they have played in their other 2 games this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Jaguars Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 31 Jaguars 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Jacksonville Jaguars: 6-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 6-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 8-4 1H ATS versus division opponents. 6-2 UNDER off a road loss. 6-3 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 5-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses.
Houston Texans: 3-6 ATS off a road loss. 3-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 5-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 9-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 UNDER versus division opponents. 6-3 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Jacksonville Jaguars: A. Armstead (DE) Injured - Rest. T. Jones (WR) Questionable - Foot. C. Robinson (OL) Injured - Knee. E. Engram (TE) Out - Hamstring. D. Savage (SAF) Questionable - Quadricep. T. Bigsby (RB) Questionable - Shoulder.
Houston Texans: J. Patterson (OL) Out - Calf. J. Mixon (RB) Out - Ankle. K. Lassiter (CB) Injured - Elbow. F. Fatukasi (DT) Injured - Shoulder. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Shin. K. Boyd (CB) Injured - Hip. N. Collins (WR) Injured - Hip. D. Pierce (RB) Out - Hamstring. J. Scruggs (OL) Questionable - Groin. D. Schultz (TE) Injured - Ankle. M. Stewart (SAF) Questionable - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It’s really shocking. Very disappointed. You hate to say it, but the reality is we’re not very good right now. I need everybody to coach and play better. Let’s leave it at that.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
“The Texans helped the Vikings a lot.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Engram, Evan
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Etienne Jr., Travis
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Dell, Tank
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
FB Brooks, British
Statistical Leaders
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (560)
Rushing: T. Etienne (164)
Receiving: B. Thomas (189)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne (2)
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (709)
Rushing: J. Mixon (184)
Receiving: N. Collins (338)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (2)
Coaches:
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (3rd season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
