Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 10, 2023
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jaguars +1.5, Browns -1.5; Over/Under: 34 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jaguars +1.5, Browns -1.5; Over/Under: 34 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jaguars +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-4 (1st place, AFC South)
Cleveland Browns: 7-5 (3rd place, AFC North)
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Jacksonville Jaguars: lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals in overtime 34-31.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 36-19.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Jaguars are entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-31 in OT. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 22/29 passes for 258 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions before leaving injured and getting replaced by C. J. Beathard who completed 9/10 passes for 63 yards. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. Evan Engram led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Josh Allen led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Josh Allen came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Browns are entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the LA Rams 36-19. Joe Flacco was the starting QB and he completed 23/44 passes for 254 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 48. Elijah Moore led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Mike Ford led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Jaguars vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked good in their games this season with their 7-5 record overall and they have one of the best defenses in the NFL that has been keeping them in a lot of their games. They haven't looked great in their last 2 games with 2 losses in a row now, but they are also going to be back on their home field here where they are 5-1 in home games this season. They have looked a lot better in their home games all year and the Jags are going to have a lot of trouble moving the ball on this defense, especially with Trevor Lawrence banged up and likely going to sit out for this game. The Jaguars have looked great lately with their 8-4 record overall but they couldn't close out their game at home on Monday night when Lawrence left the game and they lost at home to another team who was starting a backup QB. The Browns have had QB issues all season but their defense will bring their best effort in this home game, especially with the Jaguars offense coming in so banged up now. This will be a really tough road game for the Jaguars to win in their current situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Jaguars Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 10, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 17 Jaguars 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-4 ATS in all games. 11-5 ATS after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 11-3 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 12-4 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
Cleveland Browns: 4-9 ATS off a road loss. 19-32 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points. 6-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 14-7 UNDER in home games. 8-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-1 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs.
Key Injuries
Jacksonville Jaguars: T. Lawrence (QB) day to day - Ankle. C. Kirk (WR) day to day - Groin. Y. Abdullah (LB) day to day - Illness. C. Robinson (OL) Mid Jan - Knee. J. Agnew (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Braswell (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Cleveland Browns: M. Goodwin (WR) day-to-day - Concussion. D. Ward (CB) day-to-day - Shoulder. A. Cooper (WR) day-to-day - Concussion. D. Thompson-Robinson (QB) day-to-day - Concussion. M. Woods II (WR) out for season - Achilles. R. McLeod (S) I-R - Bicep. D. Watson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Mitchell (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Wills Jr. (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Ika (DT) Out indefinitely - Foot. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It should have been a game-winning field goal.” - Doug Pederson on the missed field goal by his team in the 4th quarter after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game.
“I felt like we had a chance there, but the game got away from us. I thought Flacco saw it well, made good decisions, got us into the correct plays and all those types of things, so operated well. Did what we expected him to do.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Jones, Zay
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Engram, Evan
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Etienne Jr., Travis
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Goodwin, Marquise
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Thompson-Robinson, Dorian
RB Ford, Jerome
Statistical Leaders
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (3004)
Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (771)
Receiving: C. Kirk (787)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (9)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1115)
Rushing: J. Ford (647)
Receiving: A. Cooper (799)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (6)
Coaches:
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)