Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/04/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 4, 2026

Venue:  Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +2.5, Bengals -2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +2.5, Bengals -2.5; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +2.5, Bengals -2.5; Over/Under:  51 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  2-1 (1st place, AFC South)

Cincinnati Bengals:  2-1 (1st place, AFC North)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 35-6.

Cincinnati Bengals:  lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-27.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 35-6. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 182 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bhayshul Tuten led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Ventrell Miller led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles while Ruke Orhorhoro led the defense in sacks with 1. Travis Hunter and Jarrian Jones each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Bengals are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-27. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 28/37 passes for 282 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 61. Ja'Marr Chase led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Demetrius Knight Jr. led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Dexter Lawrence II led the defense in sacks with 2. Jordan Battle came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Bengals listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC North. They have looked good on their home field too with their 1-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC South. They haven't been a good road team though with their 0-1 road record this year. The Jaguars are coming off a 35-6 win over the Patriots in their last one and they crushed a team that was in the Super Bowl last year, but they have also looked like night and day home and away. They have crushed in both of their home games this season, but they lost their only road game this year to the Broncos 20-13 and the offense didn't look nearly as good. They had a lot of trouble on the road against a better defense when they played the Broncos and the Bengals do have a much improved defense this season. The Bengals just took their 1st loss of the season, losing to the Steelers 30-27 in a tight divisional game, but they will be looking to bounce back after that loss. The offense shredded a good Steelers defense and has looked great all season with Joe Burrow healthy. The defense didn't look great in that one, but they will bounce back with a better game and looked great in their only home game played this season. The Jaguars also have a game in London next week, so this could be a bit of a lookahead spot for them too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bengals to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Bengals Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 4, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bengals 27 Jaguars 23.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 23-13 ATS in all games. 17-9 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 7-1 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-3 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game.

Cincinnati Bengals: 2-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 2-6 ATS off a road loss. 1-4 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better. 8-3 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 9-5 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  None.

Cincinnati Bengals:  None.

“We were just ready to play. Guys were flying around. At the end of the day, that's what it's about. It's the players executing the plan. You got to have a good plan, and we did. But it's about us going out there and owning it, playing fast and executing. We did all those things today.” - Trevor Lawrence after their win against the Patriots in their last game. 

“Some games, you just go get your butt kicked and there's not much to say about it. This one, we had our chances. Pittsburgh took advantage of theirs. We didn't take advantage of ours.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game. 

WR Thomas Jr., Brian

WR Meyers, Jakobi

WR Washington, Parker

TE Strange, Brenton

QB Lawrence, Trevor

RB Tuten, Bhayshul 

WR Chase, Ja'Marr

WR Higgins, Tee

WR Meyers, Dohnte

TE Sample, Drew

QB Burrow, Joe

RB Brown, Chase

Passing: Trevor Lawrence (616)

Rushing: Bhayshul Tuten (204)

Receiving: Parker Washington (221)

Touchdowns: Parker Washington (2)

Passing: Joe Burrow (743)

Rushing: Chase Brown (197)

Receiving: Tee Higgins (244)

Touchdowns: Ja'Marr Chase (3)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Liam Coen (2nd season)

Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (8th season)