Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/08/2023

Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023

Venue:  Northumberland Development Project, London, England, UK

Where to Watch:  NFL Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +5.5, Bills -5.5; Over/Under:  48 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +5.5, Bills -5.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jaguars +5.5, Bills -5.5; Over/Under:  49 points

Jacksonville Jaguars:  2-2 (3rd place, AFC South)

Buffalo Bills:  3-1 (1st place, AFC East)

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Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Atlanta Falcons 23-7.

Buffalo Bills:  won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 48-20.

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 23-7. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 23/30 passes for 207 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 55. Christian Kirk led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Josh Allen led the defense in sacks with 3. Darious Williams and Andre Cisco each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Bills are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 48-20. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 21/25 passes for 320 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Latavius Murray led the team in rushing yards with 32. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 120 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 3 TDs. Matt Milano led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Gregory Rousseau led the defense in sacks with 2. Micah Hyde came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jags finally bounced back in their last game as they beat the Falcons in London and now they have the advantage in this game since they have already been there for 2 weeks. The Bills looked really good in their last game as they beat the Dolphins at home and they have also looked really good in their 3 games since losing to the Jets in week 1, but they also poured a lot of emotion into that game against the Dolphins to beat them and now they are going to have a let down spot as they have to travel to England for this game. The Jags will be ready for them here and they are also more accustomed to playing overseas than the Bills who are only 1-1 in road games this year. The Jags don't have a bad defense either so they will be able to slow down this Bills offense while the Jags offense has been starting to click now. This is a great let down spot for the Bills after a big win against the Dolphins and the Jaguars are definitely live to win this game outright with the travel advantage. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game. 

Jaguars Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (9:30 am ET start time) is Jaguars 23 Bills 20.

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Jacksonville Jaguars: 4-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 2-7 ATS in October games. 9-1 UNDER off a non-conference game. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 14-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Buffalo Bills: 18-9 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game. 27-19 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game. 23-15 UNDER as a favorite. 8-4 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game. 

Jacksonville Jaguars:  J. Agnew (WR) day-to-day - Quadricep. D. Lloyd (LB) day-to-day - Hand. Z. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee. A. Johnson (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. G. Junior (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Smoot (LB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Robinson (OL) Elig Week 5 - Suspension.

Buffalo Bills:  T. White (CB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. J. Poyer (S) day-to-day - Knee. B. Spector (LB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Miller (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

“I’m so proud of Calvin, what’s he’s been through in his life. He’s put a lot of things behind him. He’s focused on the future. Obviously his testimony, it’s one that can be spread to a lot of professional and younger-generation athletes. He’s doing things right. We love having him on the football team.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game. 

“I love him. I mean, to see him on that field, the way he was hurting, is hard. It’s hard to watch. I know that he will rebound. He’s just too tough.” - Sean McDermott on Tre’Davious White after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game. 

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Jones, Zay

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis 

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Sherfield, Trent 

TE Knox, Dawson 

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie

Passing: T. Lawrence (943)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (260)

Receiving: C. Kirk (257)

Touchdowns: T. Bigsby (2)

Passing: J. Allen (1048)

Rushing: J. Cook (296)

Receiving: S. Diggs (399)

Touchdowns: S. Diggs (4)

Coaches:

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)