Iowa State Cyclones vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/18/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 18, 2021
Venue:  Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cyclones -31.5, Rebels +31.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cyclones -31.5, Rebels +31.5; Over/Under:  52 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cyclones -31.5, Rebels +31.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points
 

Season Record

Iowa State Cyclones:  1-1 (10th, Big 12)
UNLV Rebels:  0-2 (6th place, MW West)
 
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Iowa State Cyclones vs UNLV Rebels Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Iowa State Cyclones:  Lost at home on Sep. 11 against the Iowa Hawkeyes 27-17.
UNLV Rebels:  Lost on the road on Sep. 11 against the Arizona State Sun Devils 37-10.
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

Last season the Iowa State Cyclones averaged a 66.8% completion percentage, 241.3 passing yards, and 1.7 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 195 rushing yards and 2.6 touchdowns per game on the ground. The UNLV Rebels were averaging a 58.7% completion percentage, 185.8 passing yards, and 1 touchdown per game through the air. They also averaged 144.7 rushing yards and 1.2 touchdowns per game on the ground.
 
 

Defensive Analysis

Last season the Iowa State Cyclones were allowing teams a 62.7% completion percentage, 237.3 passing yards, and 1.2 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 104.3 rushing yards and 0.9 touchdowns per game on the ground. The UNLV Rebels were allowing teams a 60.7% completion percentage, 227.2 passing yards, and 1 touchdown per game through the air. They also allowed 255.5 rushing yards and 3.7 touchdowns per game on the ground.
 

 

Cyclones vs Rebels Prediction

Iowa State is coming into this game with a 1-1 record overall and has yet to play any conference games, this one being another non-conference matchup. They won their first game of the college football season against the Northern Iowa Panthers and then followed that one up with a loss in their previous game to the Iowa Hawkeyes. Brock Purdy struggled a lot in that game completing 13/27 passes for 138 yards and 3 interceptions. Hunter Dekkers did a little better completing 11/16 passes for 114 yards and 1 touchdown. Their running game was not very good as Breece Hall rushed for 69 yards and 1 TD on 16 carries, leading the team in rushing that game. Darren Wilson led the receivers with 56 yards on 2 receptions in what was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Isheem Young led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Will McDonald led the team in sacks with 1.5. They have scored 33 points in their 2 games and have allowed their opponents to score 37 points against them. Their offense is averaging 337 YPG while their defense is allowing 224 YPG.

UNLV is coming into this college football game with a 0-2 record overall and will now be playing their 3rd non-conference game in a row. They lost their first game of the season to the Eastern Washington Eagles and followed that one up with another loss in their last game against the Arizona State Sun Devils. Their passing game was really bad in their last game as Doug Brumfield completed 6/14 passes for 60 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also led the team in rushing with 43 yards and the 1 touchdown they scored as it was very quiet in the run game for them. Their receiving corps had an even worse day somehow, with Kyle Williams leading the way, he had 27 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Bryce Jackson led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Nohl Williams had the only interception in the game for this defense. They have scored 43 points in their first 2 games and have allowed their opponents to score 72 points against them. Their offense is averaging 330.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 482.7 YPG.

Iowa State is likely going to crush UNLV as the Rebels have struggled to move the ball and score points all year. Even their defense is allowing way too many yards against them. The Cyclones are more of a defensive team though and even though they may end up holding this team to 0 points, they are very bad on the offensive side of the ball. They are favored by 31 points here but Arizona State, the team UNLV last played, did not even clear that number against them and their offense has looked much better than Iowa State's has. UNLV will cover this spread as the Cyclones will score but not enough to clear that kind of number.

 
Cyclones Rebels Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 18, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Cyclones 31 Rebels 7.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Iowa State Cyclones UNLV Rebels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Iowa State Cyclones: 10-11 ATS as a favorite. 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.
UNLV Rebels: 1-5 ATS off a road loss. 3-7 ATS in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Iowa State Cyclones:  O. Vance (LB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury. S. Shaw Jr. (WR) Prob Sat - Upper Body injury. J. Amos (DB) Ques Sat - Leg injury.
UNLV Rebels:  T. Martell (QB) Ques Sat - Thumb injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Iowa State Cyclones: Xavier Hutchinson is one player to watch in this game. He leads the team in receiving and will want to make some big plays here after last week’s performance in their upset loss. Look for him to make some big plays down the field.
 
UNLV Rebels: Charles Williams is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns. UNLV has not been great in their first 2 games so look for him to make some big runs and help his team establish a running game to help relieve the pressure on the quarterback.
 

Notable Quotes

"I would assume Brock is going to be our guy. I think from the perspective of, 'Man, did we put Hunter Dekkers in to challenge Brock's position on our football team?' Absolutely not. I think what we put Hunter in to do was to kind of allow Brock to gather himself and really settle the game down and really try to go win the football game and even at that time in the fourth quarter, we felt like we could continue to stay in the game and had opportunities to maybe do that." - Matt Campbell on benching starting quarterback Brock Purdy in the 4th quarter of their last game.
 
 
“Week 2 is a great week for growth in a lot of ways, depending on what kind of environment and landscape you’re going into. We’re going on the road for the first time in our program in a really hostile environment. With a crowd. With a really good football team. A well-coached football team. … That’s going to be a challenge in itself. But then you’ve still got to execute what wins and fix the things from the week before.” - Marcus Arroyo coming into their week 2 talking about his optimism for his team to improve.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Hutchinson, Xavier 
WR Scates, Joe 
WR Milton, Tarique 
TE Kolar, Charlie 
TE Rus, Jared 
QB Purdy, Brock 
RB Hall, Breece 
 
UNLV Rebels
WR Jenkins, Steve 
WR Griffin, Zyell 
WR Williams, Kyle 
TE Fauolo Sr., Giovanni 
QB Brumfield, Doug 
RB Williams, Charles 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: B. Purdy (337)
Rushing: B. Hall (138)
Receiving: X. Hutchinson (110)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (2)
Sacks: W. McDonald IV (2.5)
Tackles: J. Hummel (13)
 
UNLV Rebels
Passing: D. Brumfield (177)
Rushing: C. Williams (207)
Receiving: K. Williams (114)
Touchdowns: C. Williams (2)
Sacks: J. Windmon (1.5)
Tackles: J. Windmon (14)
 
Coaches:
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (6th season)
UNLV Rebels: Marcus Arroyo (2nd season) 
 

Weather Forecast

89 degrees F partly cloudy, 30% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds NE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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