Iowa State Cyclones vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/20/2024

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 20, 2024

Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Iowa State Cyclones:  13-4 (2-2) (9th place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  13-4 (2-2) (8th place, Big 12)

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Iowa State Cyclones:  3-2  last 5

TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5

Iowa State is entering this game with a 13-4 record overall, a 2-2 record in conference games, and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the BYU Cougars in their last game. Keshon Gilbert led the team in points per game in that game with 16 while Milan Momcilovic was next on the team with 11. Tamin Lipsey led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Hason Ward led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 44.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 64% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.1 PPG against them. Iowa State has an ATS record of 11-6 this season and their O/U record is 10-7.

TCU is entering this game with a 13-4 record overall, a 2-2 conference record, and they are 9-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Cincinnati Bearcats in their last game. Trey Tennyson led the team in points in that game with 17 while Emanuel Miller was next on the team with 15. Avery Anderson III led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Ernest Udeh Jr. led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.7% from the field, 44% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 10-7 this season and their O/U record is 9-8.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has looked good in their games this season with their 13-4 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have struggled a bit more in the Big 12 this season with their 2-2 conference record to start conference play, but they have also looked very good on their home court all season with their 9-0 home record. Meanwhile, Iowa State has also looked good in their games this year with their 13-4 record overall which also has them ranked inside the top 25. Iowa State has been in the same boat as TCU to start conference play as Iowa State is 2-2 in their conference games, struggling more in the Big 12 than in non-conference games, but home advantage is also going to be important here since Iowa State is only 1-2 in their road games this season. They have looked really different on their home court this season and even though they will be looking to bounce back from their loss against BYU in their last game, TCU will also be looking to bounce back on their home court here. TCU pulled off a really nice win over Houston and then lost to Cincinnati in their last game, losing that game in OT after blowing a double digit lead they had for most of the game. Now they are back on their home court where they have looked a lot better all year and they will be looking to bounce back against Iowa State who has struggled more in their road games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 20, 2024 (2:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 84 Iowa State 76.

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Iowa State Cyclones: 2-5 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 3-9 ATS after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 23-12 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs. 15-8 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival. 23-13 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

TCU Horned Frogs: 16-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 10-4 ATS off a road loss. 20-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 21-12 UNDER after 3 consecutive conference games. 21-13 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 

Iowa State Cyclones:  T. Lipsey (G) Ques Sat - Shoulder. K. Fish (F) out for season - Shoulder. J. Hamilton (G) out for season - Redshirt. J. Rock (C) out for season - Redshirt.

TCU Horned Frogs:  None.

“That put us in a tough spot. They were physically the more aggressive team.” - T.J. Otzelberger after his team’s loss against BYU in their last game on Tuesday.

“Our turnovers on the offensive end were disappointing. We’re a low turnover team. It was bad decision making. Too many layups, mostly because of the turnovers.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against Cincinnati in their last game on Tuesday.

K. Gilbert 

R. Jones 

T. King 

T. Lipsey 

M. Momcilovic

J. Coles 

E. Miller 

J. Nelson 

M. Peavy 

E. Udeh

PPG: T. Lipsey (14.5)

APG: T. Lipsey (5.6)

Reb/G: T. Lipsey (5.5)

PPG: E. Miller (16.6)

APG: A. Anderson III (3.8)

Reb/G: E. Miller (5.8)

Coaches:

Iowa State Cyclones: T.J. Otzelberger (3rd season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (8th season)