by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 15, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ISU +5, Oklahoma -5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ISU +5, Oklahoma -5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ISU +6.5, Oklahoma -6.5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Season Record
Iowa State Cyclones: 6-4 (4th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma Sooners: 9-1 (1st place, Big 12)
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Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Iowa State Cyclones: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 41-38.
Oklahoma Sooners: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the Baylor Bears 27-14.
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
ISU is coming into this game with a 6-4 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Brock Purdy played alright in that game but he also struggled at times as he completed 32/42 passes for 356 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing with 51 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18 carries. Xavier Hutchinson had a nice day as he led the receivers with 112 yards on 8 receptions while Charlie Kolar had 76 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions. Breece Hall caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Jake Hummel led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Blake Peterson recorded the only sack in that game for them while Aric Horne had the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 325 points in their 10 games this season averaging 32.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 205 points against them allowing 20.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 434.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 307.1 YPG.
Oklahoma Sooners Analysis
Oklahoma is coming into this game with a 9-1 record overall and they are 6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. They had won 9 straight games this season but suffered their first loss of the season in their last game, coming into this one off of that loss. Caleb Williams did not play well at all in that one as he completed 10/19 passes for 146 yards and 2 interceptions. Spencer Rattler had to come in to shake things up since nothing was working for them but he only completed 4/6 passes for 36 yards. Kennedy Brooks led the team in rushing with 51 yards and 1 touchdown on 13 carries while Williams ran in the other TD on the ground in that one. Michael Woods led the receivers with 53 yards on 4 receptions while Jadon Haselwood had 51 yards on 2 receptions. Brian Asamoah II led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Isaiah Thomas and Danny Stutsman both combined for the only sack in that game while Delarrin Turner-Yell came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 400 points in their 10 games this season averaging 40 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 245 points against them allowing 24.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 455.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 386.8 YPG.
Iowa State vs Oklahoma Prediction
ISU is coming into this game as a 5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ISU is coming off of a 3 point loss to Texas Tech, one of the worst teams in the Big 12 this season, and they are going to be looking to bounce back from that game. Oklahoma has not played well all season but it finally caught up to them in their last game as they were handed their first loss of the year. Oklahoma had a slim chance to make the college football playoffs as an undefeated team this year with the way they have been playing in their games and that loss pretty much sealed their fate. They are going to be demotivated to finish the season off as they are not even a top 10 team in the nation anymore. The best bet to place in this game is on ISU to cover the spread here.
Iowa State Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 26 ISU 23.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa State Cyclones: 170-163 ATS in all games. 22-17 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 114-111 ATS as an underdog. 123-118 ATS against conference opponents.
Oklahoma Sooners: 183-187 ATS in all games. 149-153 ATS as a favorite. 124-128 ATS against conference opponents. 34-47 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Iowa State Cyclones: None.
Oklahoma Sooners: T. Wease (WR) Ques Sat - Leg injury. B. Washington (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. White (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“We dug ourselves such a hole that it would have taken a perfect game in the second half to at least give ourselves the opportunity to win. We were damn near there, but man, we can’t do those things, especially in conference play.” - Matt Campbell on his team’s loss to Texas Tech in their last game.
"Disappointing, no other way to put it. Still a whole lot left for this football team. That's the advantage of winning your first nine games, is you do set yourself up to be able to overcome something like this. ... We'll bounce back like we always do and like we fully expect to." - Lincoln Riley after their first loss of the season in their last game against Baylor.
Starting Lineups
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Shaw Jr., Sean
WR Milton, Tarique
TE Kolar, Charlie
TE Rus, Jared
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Hall, Breece
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Haselwood, Jadon
WR Woods II, Michael
WR Mims, Marvin
HB Hall, Jeremiah
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Brooks, Kennedy
Statistical Leaders
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: B. Purdy (2441)
Rushing: B. Hall (1172)
Receiving: X. Hutchinson (798)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (16)
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: S. Rattler (1474)
Rushing: K. Brooks (853)
Receiving: M. Mims (622)
Touchdowns: K. Brooks (10)
Coaches:
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (6th season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Lincoln Riley (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
