Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Sep 28, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023
Venue:  Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU +20, OU -20; Over/Under:  48.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU +20, OU -20; Over/Under:  48.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU +20.5, OU -20.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Season Record

Iowa State Cyclones:  2-2 (1-0) (7th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma Sooners:  4-0 (1-0) (1st place, Big 12)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NCAAF as he is 74-33 his last 107 CFB plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 34-27.
Oklahoma Sooners:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bearcats 20-6.


Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis


Iowa State is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma State 34-27. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 27/38 passes for 348 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Eli Sanders led the team in rushing yards with 58 and 1 TD. Jaylin Noel led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Ben Nikkel led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while J.R. Singleton led the defense in sacks with 1. TJ Tampa and Beau Freyler each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Cincinnati 20-6. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 26/38 passes for 322 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Marcus Major led the team in rushing yards with 63. Andrel Anthony led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Danny Stutsman led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Danny Stutsman and Jonah Laulu each led the defense in sacks with 1. Key Lawrence and Billy Bowman each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Iowa State vs Oklahoma Prediction

The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 20 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked really good in their games this season as they are 4-0 and have a point to prove after the bad season they had last year. Their offense is a lot better than it was last season and their defense has also been really good as they are not giving up many points at all. Iowa State has also been a lot better than expected this season after what happened to them in the off-season but they still don't have the talent to keep up with a team like Oklahoma who is looking to win the Big 12 one last time before going to the SEC. Iowa State is also going to be on the road in this game while Oklahoma has been really strong in their home games. Oklahoma will put up a ton of points on this Iowa State defense and ISU won't have the talent to come back in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 49 Iowa State 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Iowa State Cyclones Oklahoma Sooners prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Iowa State Cyclones: 4-8 ATS in road games. 2-9 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 2-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 19-10 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER as an underdog. 9-3 UNDER after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game.

Oklahoma Sooners: 7-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 4-0 ATS in all games. 4-0 ATS as a favorite. 6-2 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite. 20-14 UNDER after allowing 6 points or less last game.

Key Injuries


Iowa State Cyclones:  C. Norton (RB) Prob Sat - Shoulder. T. Moore (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Hanika (TE) out for season - Poss. Suspension.

Oklahoma Sooners:  K. Helms (TE) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Hester (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. D. Beville (QB) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Harrington (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. K. McIntyre (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Rowe (DB) out for season - Undisclosed. P. Picciotti (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Graham II (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“I just thought Rocco played an incredible game, his efficiency, the way he threw the football.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against OK State in their last game.


“Dillon was able to extend a couple plays. There are some designed plays we run for him too. There was a speed option. He ran a quarterback draw which he did a really nice job. It is always good to have that. It is what we call a plus-one run game.” - Brent Venables after his team’s win against Cincinnati in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Iowa State Cyclones
WR Higgins, Jayden JR/TR
WR Bitter, Aidan RS JR
WR Noel, Jaylin JR
TE Dean, Easton 
TE Klotz, Stevo 
QB Becht, Rocco 
RB Norton, Cartevious 

Oklahoma Sooners
WR Anthony, Andrel
WR Farooq, Jalil 
WR Stoops, Drake 
TE Stogner, Austin 
QB Gabriel, Dillon 
RB Walker, Tawee

Statistical Leaders


Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: R. Becht (897)
Rushing: C. Norton (126)
Receiving: J. Noel (202)
Touchdowns: D. Jackson (2)

Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: D. Gabriel (1227)
Rushing: T. Walker (176)
Receiving: A. Anthony (371)
Touchdowns: N. Anderson (4)

Coaches:
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (8th season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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