Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ISU -6.5, KSU +6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ISU -6.5, KSU +6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ISU -6.5, KSU +6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Iowa State Cyclones: 3-2 (5th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats: 3-2 (8th place, Big 12)
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Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis
Iowa State Cyclones: won at home on Oct. 2 against the Kansas Jayhawks 59-7.
Kansas State Wildcats: lost at home on Oct. 2 against the Oklahoma Sooners 37-31.
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
ISU is coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Iowa Hawkeyes while their win came against Kansas in their last game. They won that game 59-7 in an absolute blowout that they had control in from the start. Brock Purdy played very well in that game as he completed 17/22 passes for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns. Breece Hall had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 123 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries. Hunter Dekkers also had 47 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 2 carries. Xavier Hutchinson led the receivers with 96 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions in that game. Charlie Kolar also played well with 64 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Joseph Scates had 1 catch and 1 TD for 44 yards. Zach Peterson led the defense 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Kym-Mani King had 3 solo tackles in that game. King also came away with the only interception for them in that one while no one on the defense was able to record a sack. They have scored 169 points in their first 5 games averaging 33.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 78 points against them allowing 15.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 442 YPG while their defense is allowing 233.8 YPG.
Kansas State Wildcats Analysis
KSU is coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 3rd conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are already in a hole with a 2-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 losses came against the Oklahoma State Cowboys and against Oklahoma in their last game. Skylar Thompson had a great game in that one as he completed 29/41 passes for 320 yards and 3 touchdowns. Deuce Vaughn led the team in rushing with 51 yards and 15 carries but they did not really get much of a run game going in that one. He also led the receivers with 104 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 receptions while Landry Weber had 65 yards receiving and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions. Russ Yeast led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Jahron McPherson had 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Timmy Horne and Felix Anudike both had 1 sack each in that game while Julius Brents came away with the only interception for them. They have scored 144 points in their first 5 games averaging 28.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 115 points against them allowing 23 PPG. Their offense is averaging 360.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 342.6 YPG.
Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction
Kansas State is coming into this game as a 6.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have stayed competitive against some better teams in their conference this year and their offense has been playing well. Iowa State has looked good this year against the lesser teams but have struggled when up against better teams. KSU is going to keep this game close with their offense and have a chance to even win this game here at home. The best bet to place in this game is KSU to cover the spread here as ISU will struggle to keep up with them in this game on offense.
Iowa State Kansas State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is KSU 31 ISU 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa State Cyclones: 46-51 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 69-79 ATS in road games. 54-64 ATS in games played on turf. 97-130 O/U in all games. 29-45 O/U as a favorite. 44-55 O/U in road games.
Kansas State Wildcats: 35-29 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 187-148 ATS in all games. 54-38 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 82-54 ATS as an underdog. 32-18 ATS as a home underdog. 102-72 ATS in home games. 140-99 ATS against conference opponents. 137-96 ATS after playing a conference game. 144-114 ATS in games played on turf. 73-44 ATS in October games. 60-36 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.
Iowa State Cyclones: None.
Kansas State Wildcats: B. Massie (DE) Doub Sat - Undisclosed injury. W. Howard (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Smith (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Players to Watch
Iowa State Cyclones: Breece Hall is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a good game where he had over 100 yards rushing and he will want to carry that over into this game through their bye week. He is a focal point of this offense so look for him to get a lot of touches and find the end zone in this one.
Kansas State Wildcats: Deuce Vaughn is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a great game where he led the team in rushing yards and receiving yards with over 100 receiving yards in that game. Look for him to get a lot of looks in this game as he is their biggest playmaker.
"The reality of our program has grown. and we've proven we can strengthen through struggle." - Matt Campbell on his team’s season so far.
"We had a chance to win, had a number of opportunities. We played for four quarters, played with great passion, and I told the guys, ‘We're a good team. We just have to believe we're a good team.'" - Chris Klieman on his team’s loss to Oklahoma in their last game.
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Scates, Joe
WR Milton, Tarique
TE Kolar, Charlie
TE Rus, Jared
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Hall, Breece
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Knowles, Malik
WR Brooks, Phillip
WR Weber, Landry
TE Lenners, Nick
QB Howard, Will
RB Vaughn, Deuce
FB Dineen, Jax
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: B. Purdy (1133)
Rushing: B. Hall (551)
Receiving: X. Hutchinson (381)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (8)
Sacks: W. McDonald IV (3.5)
Tackles: J. Hummel (17)
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: S. Thompson (560)
Rushing: D. Vaughn (444)
Receiving: P. Brooks (225)
Touchdowns: D. Vaughn (5)
Sacks: F. Anudike (5)
Tackles: D. Green (21)
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (6th season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (3rd season)
68 degrees F sunny, 46% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 9 mph wind speeds W.