Iowa State Cyclones vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/09/2026

Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, October 9, 2026

Venue:  LaVell Edwards Stadium (LES), Provo, UT

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU +10.5, BYU -10.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU +10.5, BYU -10.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU +10.5, BYU -10.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Iowa State Cyclones:  3-2 (1-1) (9th place, Big 12)

BYU Cougars:  4-0 (2-0) (2nd place, Big 12)

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Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers 45-42.

BYU Cougars:  won their last game on the road against the TCU Horned Frogs 17-10.

Iowa State is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against West Virginia 45-42. Jaylen Raynor was the starting QB and he completed 19/27 passes for 264 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Aiden Flora led the team in rushing yards with 212 and 3 TDs. Cody Jackson led the receivers with 160 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Sullivan Schlimgen led the defense in that game with 11 tackles while Key'on Washington and Malaki Ta'ase each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

BYU is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against TCU 17-10. Bear Bachmeier was the starting QB and he completed 11/24 passes for 62 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bear Bachmeier led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 2 TDs. Kyler Kasper led the receivers with 22 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Tommy Prassas led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Jake Clifton, Nusi Taumoepeau, Braxton Lindsey, and Tausili Akana each led the defense in sacks with 1. Faletau Satuala came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have BYU listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BYU has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 2-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Iowa State hasn't looked bad this season with their 3-2 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They haven't been a good road team though with their 0-1 road record this year. Iowa State is coming off a 45-42 win over West Virginia in their last one and their offense looked great. That was one of their best offensive performances of the season, but that hasn't been a common theme for them this year and now they are on the road against a stronger defense. Their only loss in the conference was at home against Utah and they weren't too competitive in that one when faced with one of the strongest teams in the Big 12. They are going to have a lot more trouble against this BYU defense that hasn't been giving up many points this year. BYU is coming off a 17-10 road win over TCU and their offense looked terrible in that one, but the defense was really good and the offense ended up doing just enough to get the job done. BYU is still one of the best teams in the Big 12 though and they have looked a lot better in their home games, so that offense is going to look better in this game and they will be looking to play better as a whole. Iowa State has only played 1 road game this year which wasn't an easy environment, losing to Iowa 16-13, but even though this isn't a rivalry game, this environment isn't going to be any easier for them. The best way to place a bet here is on BYU to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 9, 2026 (10:15 pm ET start time) is BYU 30 Iowa State 13.

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Iowa State Cyclones: 1-5 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 5-9 ATS after playing a game at home. 19-37 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 7-1 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 7-0 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

BYU Cougars: 19-9 ATS against FBS division opponents. 15-6 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 9-5 OVER in home lined games. 5-1 OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.

Iowa State Cyclones:  E. Miller (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Galer (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Pabst (WR) Out - Knee. C. Crawford (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Singletary (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Bailey (WR) Out - Undisclosed.

BYU Cougars:  A. Gentry (OG) Out - Undisclosed. S. Esera (LB) Out - Undisclosed. B. Laga (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Saleapaga II (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Moa (RB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Nye (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Damuni (S) Out - Lower Body.

“The first thing we did here was put him on scholarship and secure he was coming back. When others looked to go elsewhere for a bigger opportunity, he stayed true. This place is special to him.” - Jimmy Rogers after his team’s win against WVU in their last game. 

“That was a gritty win. I liked ending the game how we did, which was a long drive, getting in the end zone, and Bear just took over.” - Kalani Sitake after his team’s win against TCU in their last game. 

WR Boyd, Evan

WR Jackson, Cody

WR Hayes, Omari

TE Fortenberry, Tyler

QB Raynor, Jaylen

RB Flora, Aiden

WR Kasper, Kyler

WR Phillips, Jojo

WR Glasker, Legend

TE Lyons, Walker

QB Bachmeier, Bear 

RB Martin, LJ

Passing: Jaylen Raynor (903)

Rushing: Aiden Flora (594)

Receiving: Dominic Overby (212)

Touchdowns: Aiden Flora (6)

Passing: Bear Bachmeier (704)

Rushing: LJ Martin (344)

Receiving: Legend Glasker (279)

Touchdowns: Legend Glasker (4)

Coaches:

Iowa State Cyclones: Jimmy Rogers (1st season)

BYU Cougars: Kalani Sitake (11th season)