by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 29, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, November 29, 2021
Venue: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Iowa +1, Virginia -1; Over/Under: 133 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Iowa +1.5, Virginia -1.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Iowa +1.5, Virginia -1.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
Season Record
Iowa Hawkeyes: 6-0 (1st place, Big Ten)
Virginia Cavaliers: 5-2 (9th place, ACC)
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Iowa Hawkeyes: 5-0 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers: 4-1 last 5
Iowa Hawkeyes Analysis
Iowa is coming into this game with a 6-0 record overall and they will be playing the first of their road games on their schedule this year in this game. They have not lost a game yet and are coming into this one on a 6 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their wins came against the Longwood Lancers, the Kansas City Roos, the North Carolina Central Eagles, the Alabama State Hornets, the Western Michigan Broncos, and the Portland State Vikings in their last game. Keegan Murray led the team in points in that game with 23 while Patrick McCaffery was next on the team with 14 points. Kris Murray scored 13 points and Tony Perkins scored 10 points off the bench in that one. Connor McCaffery led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Murray and Filip Rebraca both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They were 48.5% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 97.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to score 65.5 PPG against them. Iowa has an ATS record of 4-2 this season and their O/U record is 5-1.
Virginia Cavaliers Analysis
Virginia is coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games where they will be in this game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Houston Cougars while their 4 straight wins came against the Coppin State Eagles, the Georgia Bulldogs, the Providence Friars, and the Lehigh Mountain Hawks in their last game. Kihei Clark led the team in points in that game with 11 while Reece Beekman was next on the team with 10 points. Clark also led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jayden Gardner led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 61.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 53.6 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 3-4 this season and their O/U record is 2-5.
Iowa vs Virginia Prediction
Iowa is coming into this game as a 1 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia took a tumble at the beginning of the season but they have been playing much better recently with 4 straight wins. Iowa is undefeated at 6-0 still and their offense has been crazy good in their games. Virginia does not have a good offense and they tend to rely on their great defense to win their games. Iowa does not play defense as well as them but they still have a good one and their offense is much better than Virginia's is as they average over 90 points per game. The best bet to place in this game is on Iowa to cover the spread here as their offense will be too much for Virginia to handle.
Iowa Virginia Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, November 29, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Iowa 76 Virginia 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Iowa Hawkeyes: 347-370 ATS in all games. 81-93 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 189-198 ATS as a favorite. 33-39 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 114-143 ATS in road games. 8-19 ATS against ACC opponents.
Virginia Cavaliers: 336-330 ATS in all games. 74-59 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 62-51 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 36-30 ATS as a home underdog or pick. 163-151 ATS in all home games. 58-40 ATS in November games.
Key Injuries
Iowa Hawkeyes: None.
Virginia Cavaliers: None.
Notable Quotes
"This game is all about...confidence. It's making plays and understanding how you can impact the game. And if you don't play for two games, you haven't really practiced, you're gonna be a little sideways." - Fran McCaffery after his team’s win against Portland State.
“Before you can be competitive, you have to eliminate losing.” - Tony Bennett after his team lost a game early in their season against Houston.
Starting Lineups
Iowa Hawkeyes
J. Bohannon
C. McCaffery
K. Murray
F. Rebraca
J. Toussaint
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman
K. Clark
A. Franklin
J. Gardner
K. Shedrick
Statistical Leaders
Iowa Hawkeyes
PPG: K. Murray (25.7)
APG: J. Toussaint (5)
Reb/G: K. Murray (8.8)
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: J. Gardner (13.4)
APG: R. Beekman (4.3)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (8.3)
Coaches:
Iowa Hawkeyes: Fran McCaffery (12th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (13th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
