by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 31, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Iowa +4.5, Purdue -4.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Iowa +4.5, Purdue -4.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Iowa +4.5, Purdue -4.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Iowa Hawkeyes: 4-4 (2-3) (5th place, Big Ten West)
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-3 (3-2) (2nd place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Iowa Hawkeyes: won their last game at home against the Northwestern Wildcats 33-13.
Purdue Boilermakers: lost their last game on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers 35-24.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Iowa is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-3. They won against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game at home 33-13. Spencer Petras started that game at QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 220 yards and 1 touchdown. Kaleb Johnson led the team in rushing with 88 yards on 14 rushing attempts. Nico Ragaini led the team in receiving with 66 yards on 4 receptions. Jay Higgins led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles. Seth Benson, Joe Evans, Deontae Craig, Lukas Van Ness, Logan Lee, Ethan Hurkett, and Noah Shannon each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Kaevon Merriweather came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Purdue is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 3-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 3-2. They lost against the Wisconsin Badgers in their last game on the road 35-24. Aidan O'Connell started that game at QB and he completed 31/46 passes for 320 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing with 108 yards and 1 TD on 23 carries. Charlie Jones led the team in receiving with 105 yards on 10 receptions. Semisi Fakasiieiki led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Sanoussi Kane and Jack Sullivan each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Iowa vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Iowa listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa is entering this game with a 4-4 record despite being so bad on offense in a lot of their games. They have one of the best defenses in the country as it has been very hard for teams to put up points on them but their offense has been doing nothing in their games and is a big reason for their struggles this season. Their offense was a lot better in their last game though as they put up 33 points on Northwestern who is not a very good team but the Iowa offense showed a lot of positives in that game as they were actually able to move the ball in it. Purdue hasn't had a great defense this season as they have struggled to keep a lot of their opponents under 20 points scored in their games and they have been starting to slip in their games lately as they keep losing games. Their offense has even been struggling lately but they are going to struggle a lot more in this game on this defense. Iowa has a much better defense that will keep them in this game like they have in all of their games this season but with the offense starting to move the ball better and score some points, they have a very good chance at stunting Purdue here and upsetting them in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa to cover the spread in this game.
Iowa Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Iowa 23 Purdue 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa Hawkeyes: 7-14 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45. 78-50 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 28-15 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less.
Purdue Boilermakers: 8-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45. 32-18 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 25-14 UNDER after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Iowa Hawkeyes: K. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Jacobs (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. J. Harris (DB) out for season - Illness. J. Ritter (WR) out for season - Undisclosed.
Purdue Boilermakers: C. Jefferson (S) Ques Nov 5 - Undisclosed. D. Downing (RB) Early Nov - Foot. E. Canion (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"No question this was our best offensive performance." - Kirk Ferentz after his team’s win against NW in their last game.
"We dug ourselves a hole early, and without question, couldn't get out of it. Our team doesn't have a lot of margin for error, and we can't do that.” - Jeff Brohm after his team’s loss against Wisconsin in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Iowa Hawkeyes
WR Brecht, Brody
WR Bruce IV, Arland
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Petras, Spencer
RB Williams, Gavin
FB Pottebaum, Monte
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Jones, Charlie
WR Rice, Mershawn
WR Sheffield, TJ
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Doerue, King
FB Furtney, Ben
Statistical Leaders
Iowa Hawkeyes
Passing: S. Petras (1209)
Rushing: K. Johnson (348)
Receiving: S. Laporta (386)
Touchdowns: K. Johnson (3)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: A. O'Connell (2261)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (561)
Receiving: C. Jones (840)
Touchdowns: C. Jones (9)
Coaches:
Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (24th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
