Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction & Game Preview - 12/3/2021

by Chuck Sommers

Friday, Dec 03, 2021
 itTime: 9 p.m. ET
Venue: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Where to watch: Big Ten Network

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Purdue -12
BetMGM: Purdue -11.5
Caesars: Purdue -12.5

Season record
Iowa: 7-0
No. 2 Purdue: 7-0

Al McMordie had himself quite the week on the college basketball circuit, going 14-5-0 in what was an eventful seven days in the college game. Catch Al’s and other plays available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers.

Iowa - Purdue preview and analysis

Recent form
Iowa: won 75-74 at Virginia on Monday
Purdue: won 93-65 vs. Florida State on Tuesday

The Purdue Boilermakers are one win from becoming the new No. 1 team in the country.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are one win from capping what would be a huge week for the Big Ten.

It's a battle of the top two scoring offenses in the nation when Iowa (94.0 PPG) and Purdue (92.4) open up conference play on Friday with a statement win up for grabs for both programs trying to extend seven-game winning streaks.

Thanks to the Duke Blue Devils somehow running out of gas against an Ohio State Buckeyes team that presented matchup heaven for the top team in the nation, Purdue is in prime position to take the top spot for the first time in program history.

Purdue is coming off a 28-point win over the Florida State Seminoles, something we called earlier in the week based on the matchup in favor of Purdue's frontcourt. They didn't need Zach Edey and Caleb Furst to dominate on this night. It was star guard Jaden Ivey putting in a team-high 18 points along with four 3-pointers to propel a ridiculous offense that shot almost 60 percent from the floor.

"I think it just comes from all the hard work we put in in practice and buying in to what the coaches tell us," Ivey said. "Then when the game comes, it's executing perfectly. I think it we do that we can be a really good team. We already are."

Purdue has cleaned up nice at the books, as well as straight up. The Boilers have covered all but one game; a 25-point win over Indiana State where Purdue was favored by 27. Probably best to let that one slide. Purdue is trying for its fifth 8-0 start since 1940 and the first time since 2015-16 and, once again, has never reached No. 1 in the country.

There are questions about Purdue's opponent. While Iowa has understood the assignment and put a ton of points on the board. The Hawkeyes have scored more than 100 on three different occasions but it was against teams like Longwood, Alabama State and Western Michigan.

But the Hawkeyes are coming off what might be their most impressive win this season, defeating the Virginia Cavaliers off a winning basket from Joe Toussaint on Monday. So while the resume has not been top-tier for Iowa to this point, going to Charlottesville and getting a win like that is impressive.

Iowa received nine votes in the latest AP Top 25 and one would imagine they'd crack that threshold with a win.


We haven't seen enough of Iowa to crown them as the kings of the Big Ten yet. While that win against Virginia was great, Purdue has the greater body of work to this point and there's no reason to think the Boilers won't take care of business. One thing's for sure: Whoever wins, we're going to learn a lot about. Purdue by 15

Betting trends

Iowa is 18-9 ATS in its last 27 following a non-conference game.

Iowa is 10-27 ATS after shooting 45 percent or less on their free throws the previous game.

Iowa is 10-3 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in four straight games.

Purdue is 49-30 ATS after scoring 80 or more in consecutive games.

Purdue is 20-18 ATS following a game where it was favored.

Projected starting lineup

PG: Joe Toussaint
SG: Jordan Bohannon
Keegan Murray
Patrick McCaffery
Filip Rebraca

PG: Isaiah Thompson
SG: Sasha Stefanovic
Jaden Ivey
Caleb Furst
Zach Edey

Statistical leaders

Points: Keegan Murray – 24.6
Rebounds: Keegan Murray – 8.9
Assists: Joe Toussaint – 4.0

Points: Zach Edey – 16.9
Rebounds: Trevion Williams – 7.4
Assists: Sasha Stefanovic – 4.9

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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