by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 21, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, November 24, 2023
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Iowa -2.5, Nebraska +2.5; Over/Under: 26.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Iowa -2, Nebraska +2; Over/Under: 26.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Iowa -2.5, Nebraska +2.5; Over/Under: 26.5 points
Season Record
Iowa Hawkeyes: 9-2 (6-2) (1st place, Big Ten West)
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 5-6 (3-5) (6th place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Iowa Hawkeyes: won their last game at home against the Illinois Fighting Illini 15-13.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: lost their last game on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers in overtime 24-17.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Preview and Analysis
Iowa is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Illinois 15-13. Deacon Hill was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 167 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Leshon Williams led the team in rushing yards with 54. Kaleb Brown led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jermari Harris led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Joe Evans led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Nebraska is entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 3-5 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Wisconsin 24-17 in OT. Chubba Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 169 passing yards, 1 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Chubba Purdy led the team in rushing yards with 105 and 1 TD. Jaylen Lloyd led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Marques Buford Jr. led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Luke Reimer and Jimari Butler each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Iowa vs Nebraska Prediction
The current betting odds have Nebraska listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nebraska hasn't looked great this season with their 5-6 record overall and they have struggled more in their conference games with their 3-5 Big Ten record. Nebraska has also looked a lot better in their home games though as they are 4-2 in home games this season and they still have something to play for here as they need 1 win to become bowl eligible. Iowa has looked really good this season with their 9-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record but it has mainly been their defense that has looked so good and is coming away with wins for them. Their offense hasn't really been able to do anything this season and they have only played 3 road games all year too. Iowa has also clinched their spot in the Big Ten Championship so this game doesn't mean anything for them while it does mean a ton to Matt Rhule and his team to make it to a bowl game this year. This is going to be a close game with 2 good defenses regardless of what happens in this game but considering how the home team has more motivation and is getting points here, the value is with them. The best way to place a bet here is on Nebraska to cover the spread in this game.
Iowa Nebraska Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 24, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Nebraska 13 Iowa 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa Hawkeyes: 8-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 9-4 ATS in road games. 19-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 42 or less. 9-2 UNDER in all games. 19-8 UNDER when the total is 42 or less. 7-1 UNDER against conference opponents.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 5-11 ATS as a favorite. 2-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 3-8 ATS off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival. 8-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 6-1 UNDER after a game where they forced no turnovers.
Key Injuries
Iowa Hawkeyes: D. Vines (WR) Doub Fri - Undisclosed. D. Hilson (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. T. Hall (DB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. DeJean (DB) out for season - Leg. T. Washington Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. E. All (TE) out for season - Knee. C. McNamara (QB) out for season - Knee. A. Fahey (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Osgood (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Labas (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Lachey (TE) out for season - Ankle.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: N. Boerkircher (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. H. Haarberg (QB) Ques Fri - Ankle. A. Grant (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. T. Corcoran (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. E. Piper (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. M. Washington (WR) out for season - Knee. D. Singleton (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Bootle II (DB) out for season - Shoulder. G. Ervin Jr. (RB) out for season - Hip. R. Johnson (RB) out for season - Shoulder. I. Garcia-Castaneda (WR) out for season - Knee. M. Noonan (LB) out for season - Knee. B. Tagaloa (DL) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We've gone through some bumps, had some things happen throughout the season. No matter what, these guys stayed together.” - Kirk Ferentz after his team’s win against Illinois in their last game.
“Credit to them, credit to Tanner. He made the plays at the end.” - Matt Rhule after his team’s loss against Wisconsin in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Iowa Hawkeyes
WR Brown, Kaleb
WR Anderson, Seth
WR Ragaini, Nico
TE Ostrenga, Addison
QB Hill, Deacon
RB Williams, Leshon
FB Large, Hayden
Nebraska Cornhuskers
WR Bullock, Alex
WR Coleman, Malachi
WR Kemp IV, Billy
TE Boerkircher, Nate
QB Haarberg, Heinrich
RB Johnson, Emmett
FB Bonner, Janiran
Statistical Leaders
Iowa Hawkeyes
Passing: D. Hill (882)
Rushing: L. Williams (668)
Receiving: E. All (299)
Touchdowns: E. All (3)
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Passing: H. Haarberg (967)
Rushing: H. Haarberg (477)
Receiving: B. Kemp IV (289)
Touchdowns: H. Haarberg (5)
Coaches:
Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (25th season)
Nebraska Cornhuskers: Matt Rhule (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
