by James Q
Wednesday, Dec 08, 2021Iowa Hawkeyes vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Spread and Trends to Watch - 12/09/2021
Game Time: 6:00 PM ET, Thursday, December 9th, 2021
Venue: Hilton Coliseum, Ames Iowa
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening NCAAB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings Sportsbook: NL
Caesars: Spread: NL
VegasInsider: Spread: NL
Opening Lines: Iowa -3 / Iowa State +3
Season Record
Iowa: 0-2 conf, 7-2 overall (Big Ten)
Iowa State: 0-0 conf, 8-0 overall (Big 12)
If you missed Spencer Petra vs Brock Purdy at Jack Trice Stadium… then you missed iowa’s game of the century in football. You also missed the pure passion the two big schools in one small, landlocked state can amplify into a landslide of joy and heartbreak over something called the Cy-Hawk Trophy. Twitter blew up with all the touchdowns, interceptions, tackles, and each sack. That was Football… This is basketball. In basketball these state rivals will put up no less of a rivalry game… They will go for Hardwood blood.
Iowa has already lost 2 conference games… but they were to the great Big Ten programs Illinois and Purdue. Iowa held it close in both games, but were just outmanned by the end. They will have Indiana coming soon… so more than just a notch in program history… Iowa needs to win this matchup if they hope to contend in the end.
Iowa State is undefeated, but haven’t played in a conference game yet. They play in the Big 12 where eventually they will have to face Baylor (recent champions), Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Kansas State… The schedule is brutal.
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Iowa vs Iowa State Preview and Analysis
RECENT FORM
Iowa is 7-2 on the season, but 6-3 ATS. They have logged 7 Overs and 2 Unders. They are 1-1 in road games… though this isn’t that far up the highway.
Iowa State is 8-0 on the season, but 5-3 ATS. they have notched 3 Overs and 5 Unders. They are a sparkling 5-0 in home games.
OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS
The Hawkeyes are 5th in the nation in scoring with a 90.1 ppg average, 153rd in rebounds with 33.9 per game, 1st in AST/TO ratio with 2.3. Yes, they have padded the stats by playing some very small programs to get wins early… still they take care of the basketball and make jump shots. 48.7 % FG shooting is nothing to scoff at.
Iowa State Cyclones are 116th in the country in PTS per game with 75.1, 194th in the nation in rebounds per game with 32.8, 125th in the nation in AST/TO ratio 1.1. They seem a mile below the Hawkeyes on offense, but the truth is this early in the season Iowa State has played decent competition and beaten them.
DEFENSIVE ANALYSIS
On defense the Hawkeyes are giving up 70.1 ppg for a ranking of 216th… that is a major disparity from their offensive numbers.
On defense the Iowa State Cyclones take a massive leap upward. They are 44th in defending points by only allowing 60.1 per game, 61st in defending FG%, 22nd in defending 3PT%.
Iowa Hawkeye vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction
Our prediction for Saturday, December 4th, is… Iowa State 78 - Iowa 70
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa is 2-0 ATS versus Iowa State over the last 3 seasons.
Iowa is 1-0 ATS versus Iowa State at iowa State over the last 3 seasons.
That game went UNDER.
Starting Lineups
Iowa: G Joe Toussaint, G Jordan Bohannon, F Filip Rebraca, F Keegan Murray, F Patrick McCaffery
Iowa State: G Izaiah Brockington, G Tyrese Hunter, G Gabe Kalscheur, F George Conditt IV, F Tristan Enaruna
Statistical Leaders
Iowa
Points: Keegan Murray 23.9
Assists: Joe Toussaint 4.1
Rebounds: Keegan Murray 8.0
Steals: Joe Toussaint 1.6
Blocks: Keegan Murray 2.3
Iowa State
Points: Izaiah Brockington 16
Assists: Tyrese Hunter 5.4
Rebounds: Izaiah Brockington 7.5
Steals: Tyrese Hunter 2.8
Blocks: George Conditt IV 0.8
Coaches
Iowa Hawkeyes: Fran MCCaffrey
Iowa State Cyclones: T.J. Otzelberger
James Q
About the Author:
James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.
