Iowa Hawkeyes vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/06/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Mar 05, 2022
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Sunday, March 6, 2022
Venue:  State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Iowa +4, Illinois -4; Over/Under:  153.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Iowa +3.5, Illinois -3.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Iowa +3.5, Illinois -3.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points
 

Season Record

Iowa Hawkeyes:  22-8 (4th place, Big Ten)
Illinois Fighting Illini:  21-8 (2nd place, Big Ten)
 
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Illinois Fighting Illini Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Iowa Hawkeyes:  5-0 last 5
Illinois Fighting Illini:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Iowa Hawkeyes Analysis

Iowa is coming into this game with a 22-8 record overall and they are 6-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their last conference matchup of the year and they are currently 12-7 in their conference games this season. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Michigan Wolverines while their 5 wins since then have come against the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Michigan State Spartans, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, the Northwestern Wildcats, and Michigan in their last game. Keegan Murray led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jordan Bohannon and Kris Murray off the bench were both next on the team with 19 points each. Keegan Murray led the team in assists in that game with 3 and he also led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.6% from the field, 57.9% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.9 PPG against them. Iowa has an ATS record of 18-12 this season and their O/U record is 19-10-1.
 
 

Illinois Fighting Illini Analysis

Illinois is coming into this game with a 21-8 record overall and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the last conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 14-5 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Ohio State Buckeyes while their 3 wins in that span came against the Michigan State Spartans, the Michigan Wolverines, and the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last game. Da'Monte Williams led the team in points in that game with 14 while Kofi Cockburn was next on the team with 11 points. Trent Frazier led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Cockburn and Alfonso Plummer both led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 36% from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Illinois has an ATS record of 13-16 this season and their O/U record is 17-12.
 

 

Iowa vs Illinois Prediction

Iowa is coming into this game playing very well in their recent games. They have won their last 5 straight games and 8 of their last 9. They have been heating up a lot in their recent games and they have even been winning their games by double digits in all 8 of those wins. They even have a winning record on the road this season as they are 6-5 but going up against an Illinois side that is 12-3 at home this season. Illinois has also won 2 straight games coming into this and they have won 3 of their last 4 as well. Illinois has been slightly better against conference opponents this season but Iowa has been gaining a lot of steam recently and have been in much better form over their last 10 games. Illinois has only won 3 of their last 4 games and their largest win in those 3 games was by 5 points. Iowa has been hot and they are not the team to step in front of with the tournament right around the corner. Illinois has been dropping recently and they will continue that here as they lose at home to a good Iowa team that is playing much better right now. Iowa will win this game on the road by single digits.
 
Iowa Illinois Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 6, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa 79 Illinois 72.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.
 

NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Iowa Hawkeyes: 18-12 ATS in all games. 26-19 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 20-10 OVER in all games.
Illinois Fighting Illini: 4-11 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. 17-11 OVER in all games. 20-14 OVER off a home win.
 

Key Injuries

 
Iowa Hawkeyes:  None.
Illinois Fighting Illini:  J. Grandison (G) Ques Sun - Shoulder injury. B. Bosmans-Verdonk (F) Ques Sun - Concussion. R. Melendez (G) Out indefinitely - Appendix. A. Hutcherson (G) out for season - Hernia.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're playing really well and we're playing hard. We're getting good play from a lot of people, and we'll always move and share the ball." - Fran McCaffery on his team’s win against Michigan.
 
 
"Jones played great for them, which is OK. We did a really good job on Hunter." - Brad Underwood on his team’s win against Michigan.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Iowa Hawkeyes
J. Bohannon 
C. McCaffery 
Kris Murray 
F. Rebraca 
J. Toussaint
 
Illinois Fighting Illini
K. Cockburn
T. Frazier 
J. Grandison 
A. Plummer
D. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Iowa Hawkeyes
PPG: K. Murray (23.3)
APG: J. Toussaint (3.5)
Reb/G: K. Murray (8.5)
 
Illinois Fighting Illini
PPG: K. Cockburn (21)
APG: T. Frazier (4)
Reb/G: K. Cockburn (10.5)
 
Coaches:
Iowa Hawkeyes: Fran McCaffery (12th season)
Illinois Fighting Illini: Brad Underwood (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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