Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/03/2024

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024

Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colts +5, Vikings -5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colts +5.5, Vikings -5.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colts +5.5, Vikings -5.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Indianapolis Colts:  4-4 (2nd place, AFC South)

Minnesota Vikings:  5-2 (3rd place, NFC North)

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Indianapolis Colts:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 23-20.

Minnesota Vikings:  lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 30-20.

The Colts are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 23-20. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 10/32 passes for 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 105 and 1 TD. Josh Downs led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Dayo Odeyingbo and DeForest Buckner each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Vikings are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 30-20. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 240 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 58. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Ivan Pace Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Byron Murphy Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Colts listed as a 5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall, but that record has them in 2nd place of the AFC South and they can still make a run for the playoffs. It has been an up and down season for them, dealing with some injuries along the way, but now they are starting to be more consistent. They are coming off a road loss to the Texans in their last one, losing a close divisional game by 3 points, but that was a game that Anthony Richardson was terrible in and they almost won it. Now they have made the decision to go with Joe Flacco going forward and the offense has looked a lot better in the few starts he has had. Meanwhile, the Vikings have looked really good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the NFC North after a 5-0 start to the season too. They play in a really tough division, but they have also been in a bit of a spiral lately. They came back from London with a 5-0 record, being one of the last undefeated teams in the NFL, but now they have lost 2 games in a row and are starting to look a lot more human on the field. They are coming off a 10 point loss to the Rams in their last one and teams are starting to figure out this defense. The Vikings will get their points at home here, but they haven't blown many teams out all season and Flacco has looked good enough in this offense to keep his team in this game with a chance to win it too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game. 

Colts Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Vikings 27 Colts 24.

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Indianapolis Colts: 4-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 12-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 5-2 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 7-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 4-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Minnesota Vikings: 4-8 ATS as a home favorite. 4-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 2-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 9-3 OVER as a home favorite. 6-2 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 11-5 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.

Indianapolis Colts:  C. Lammons (CB) Injured - Finger. K. Paye (DE) Injured - Hamstring. B. Raimann (T) Injured - Concussion. A. Richardson (QB) Injured - Wrist. G. Avery (DE) Injured - Foot. M. Pittman (WR) Injured - Back. J. Downs (WR) Injured - Toe. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Calf. B. Smith (T) Injured - Knee.

Minnesota Vikings:  D. Quessenberry (T) Injured - Knee. D. Risner (G) Injured - Back. T. Hockenson (TE) Injured - Knee. B. Cashman (LB) Injured - Toe. J. Oliver (TE) Injured - Wrist. T. Jackson (SAF) Injured - Hand. A. Evans (CB) Injured - Hip. T. Taimani (DL) Injured - Ankle.

“We’ve just got to keep working through it. He’s got a good work effort. He grinds through these things, it’s a process, and we’ll do it together. This ain’t about one guy — it’s about the team. It’s always about the team.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game. 

“I think we were close on some plays. But when you’re playing against that quarterback, and those receivers getting healthy and getting out there and making some plays for them, I just think it comes down to (whether we) can get enough rush and coverage working together to maybe not give a quarterback like that a couple extra clicks.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game. 

WR Pierce, Alec 

WR Pittman Jr., Michael 

WR Downs, Josh

TE Alie-Cox, Mo

QB Flacco, Joe

RB Taylor, Jonathan

WR Jefferson, Justin 

WR Addison, Jordan

WR Nailor, Jalen

TE Hockenson, T.J.

QB Darnold, Sam

RB Jones, Aaron

FB Ham, C.J.

Passing: A. Richardson (958)

Rushing: J. Taylor (454)

Receiving: A. Pierce (394)

Touchdowns: J. Taylor (5)

Passing: S. Darnold (1610)

Rushing: A. Jones (501)

Receiving: J. Jefferson (646)

Touchdowns: J. Jefferson (5)

Coaches:

Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (3rd season)