Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/15/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 10, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 15, 2023
Venue:  TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colts +4, Jaguars -4; Over/Under:  45.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colts +4, Jaguars -4; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colts +4.5, Jaguars -4.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Indianapolis Colts:  3-2 (2nd place, AFC South)
Jacksonville Jaguars:  3-2 (1st place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Indianapolis Colts:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 23-16.
Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Buffalo Bills 25-20.


Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis


The Colts are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 23-16. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 9/12 passes for 98 passing yards before getting injured and replaced by Gardner Minshew who completed 11/14 passes for 155 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Zack Moss led the team in rushing yards with 165 and 2 TDs. Josh Downs led the receivers with 97 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Samson Ebukam led the defense in sacks with 1. Julian Blackmon came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills 25-20. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 315 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 136 and 2 TDs. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Darious Williams led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Darious Williams came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Colts vs Jaguars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have spent the last 2 weeks in London, England playing 2 games in a row there and they won both games as they are coming back home with some momentum behind them. They have already beaten the Colts this season in their 1st game of the year which was on the road and also their only win on American soil this season. The Jags went on to lose 2 games in a row after beating the Colts but now they have won 2 games in a row and they are starting to get into a groove. The Colts have also been a lot better than expected with their 3-2 record overall and they are even 2-0 in their road games too, but this Jags team has a lot more talent on both offense and defense and it showed in their 1st meeting earlier this season. It has only been a few weeks since they last met and the Colts have definitely gotten better but the Jags are also hitting their stride now and they are going to be looking for their 1st win at home this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game. 

Colts Jaguars Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 15, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 28 Colts 20.
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NFL Betting Trends


Indianapolis Colts: 10-5 ATS as a road underdog. 9-3 ATS off a division game. 26-15 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. 17-8 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 

Jacksonville Jaguars: 0-5 ATS as a home favorite. 8-15 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game. 25-16 UNDER in all games. 12-6 UNDER in home games. 25-15 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Key Injuries


Indianapolis Colts:  A. Richardson (QB) day-to-day - Shoulder. M. Alie-Cox (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. S. Ehlinger (QB) day-to-day - Shoulder. B. Raimann (T) day-to-day - Concussion. K. Paye (DE) day-to-day - Concussion. S. Leonard (LB) day-to-day - Groin. D. Flowers (CB) I-R - Achilles. E. Hull (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Woods (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Pinter (G) I-R - Ankle. T. Leo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. G. Avery (DE) I-R - Knee. A. Dulin (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Witt (T) I-R - Hip. D. Scott (S) I-R - Knee.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  Z. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee. D. Lloyd (LB) day-to-day - Hand. C. Braswell (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. P. Washington (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. G. Junior (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Smoot (LB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Notable Quotes


“I don't, I just know he has the shoulder. We ran something similar to that last week where he popped the big one and then, obviously, this week, he got the shoulder on that play. That's stuff that you've got to look at, be smart with and it's part of the game and you don't want it to happen.” - Shane Steichen on the injury to Anthony Richardson after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 


“We as a team, I think, are figuring out that we’re very capable of winning these types of games. It’s big. We came over here 1-2 and we’re going back 3-2.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s win against the Bills in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Indianapolis Colts
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Pittman Jr., Michael 
WR Downs, Josh  
TE Granson, Kylen 
QB Richardson, Anthony 
RB Taylor, Jonathan 

Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Jones, Zay
WR Kirk, Christian 
TE Engram, Evan 
QB Lawrence, Trevor 
RB Etienne Jr., Travis

Statistical Leaders


Indianapolis Colts
Passing: A. Richardson (577)
Rushing: Z. Moss (445)
Receiving: M. Pittman Jr. (297)
Touchdowns: A. Richardson (4)

Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (1258)
Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (396)
Receiving: C. Kirk (335)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (3)

Coaches:
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (1st season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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