Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, October 11, 2021
Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colts +7, Ravens -7; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colts +7, Ravens -7; Over/Under:  47 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colts +7, Ravens -7; Over/Under:  47 points
 

Season Record

Indianapolis Colts:  1-3 (3rd place, AFC South)
Baltimore Ravens:  3-1 (2nd place, AFC North)
 
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Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Indianapolis Colts:  won on the road on Oct. 3 against the Miami Dolphins 27-17.
Baltimore Ravens:  won on the road on Oct. 3 against the Denver Broncos 23-7.
 
 
 

Indianapolis Colts Analysis

The Colts are coming into this game with a 1-3 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They started their season off terribly with 3 straight losses against the Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams, and the Tennessee Titans, but they finally snapped that losing streak last week with a win over the Dolphins. Carson Wentz played well in that game as he completed 24/32 passes for 228 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor had a solid day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 103 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. He was basically their entire running game in that one. Michael Pittman Jr. led the receivers with 59 yards on 6 receptions. Zach Pascal also had 44 yards receiving on 4 receptions and Mo Alie-Cox caught 2 touchdown passes for 42 yards on 3 receptions. Darius Leonard led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Xavier Rhodes also played well with 4 solo tackles. Kemoko Turay led the defense in sacks with 2 while Grover Stewart also had 1 sack in that game but no one on the defense came away with an interception. They have scored 83 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 97 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 1,304 yards this season while their defense has allowed 1,323 yards against them.
 
 

Baltimore Ravens Analysis

The Ravens are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 1-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They hit a bump in the road right off the bat as they lost their season opener to the Las Vegas Raiders but they have recovered since then winning their last 3 games against the Kansas City Chiefs, the Detroit Lions, and the Broncos in their last game. Lamar Jackson had a great game in their last one as he completed 22/37 passes for 316 yards and 1 touchdown. Latavius Murray led the team in rushing with 59 yards and 1 touchdown on 18 carries but they did not really get their run game going in that one. Marquise Brown led the receivers with 91 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while James Proche also had 74 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Chris Board led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Chuck Clark was right behind him with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Tyus Bowser led the defense in sacks with 2 while Justin Houston, Justin Madubuike, and Jayson Oweh all recorded 1 sack each as well. It was Anthony Averett who came away with the only interception for the team in that game. They have scored 105 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 92 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 1,680 yards this season while their defense has allowed 1,435 yards against them. 
 
 

 

Colts vs Ravens Prediction

The Colts defense played much better in their last game as they were able to hold down Miami until they were able to gain a big enough lead and they only allowed them to score 17 points in the end. The Ravens defense is also playing much better as they held the Broncos to just 7 points in their last game. Carson Wentz looked better in their last game but he will struggle to move the ball on this defense. The Ravens like to rush the ball more than passing it so they will likely go back to their running game plan in this one and try to grind down their opponents' defense while also killing the clock. This should be a low scoring and slow paced Monday night game. The best bet to place in this game is on the under.
 
Colts Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, October 11, 2021 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Ravens 21 Colts 10.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Indianapolis Colts: 113-102 O/U as an underdog. 144-104 O/U in road games. 99-74 O/U in games played on a grass field.
Baltimore Ravens: 220-192 ATS in all games. 122-112 ATS as a favorite. 105-94 ATS in home games. 170-146 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Indianapolis Colts:  B. Smith (T) day-to-day - Foot injury. R. Ya-Sin (CB) day-to-day - Ankle injury. K. Paye (DE) day-to-day - Hamstring injury.
Baltimore Ravens:  D. Elliott (S) day-to-day - Quadricep injury. R. Stanley (T) day-to-day - Ankle injury. R. Bateman (WR) Ques Sun - Groin injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Indianapolis Colts: Jonathan Taylor is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in rushing yards this season and he is coming off of a game where he had over 100 rushing yards. The Ravens love to run the ball so the Colts will likely try to control the running game with their and set the tone so look for Taylor to get a lot of touches early as he will be a big part of setting the tone for them.
 
Baltimore Ravens: Lamar Jackson is one player to watch in this contest. He leads the team in passing yards and in rushing yards and he is a very dynamic dual-threat quarterback. He is the leader of this team so look for him to make the big plays in this game to give his team a chance at winning this game on Monday night.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We know we have a good football team." - Frank Reich after getting their first win of the season in their game against Miami.
 
 
"Oh yeah, 100% my call. That's one of those things that's meaningful. As a head coach you have to be mindful of your team and your players and what it means to them. It's a very, very tough record to accomplish and it's a long-term record.” - John Harbaugh on a controversial play where they rushed for 5 yards instead of taking a knee at the end of the Denver game just to keep an NFL record going for the team.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Indianapolis Colts
WR Strachan, Mike 
WR Pittman Jr., Michael 
WR Pascal, Zach 
TE DOYLE, JACK 
TE Alie-Cox, Mo 
QB Eason, Jacob 
RB Taylor, Jonathan 
 
Baltimore Ravens
WR Watkins, Sammy 
WR Brown, Marquise 
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar 
RB Williams, Ty'Son 
FB Ricard, Patrick 

Statistical Leaders

 
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: C. Wentz (920)
Rushing: J. Taylor (274)
Receiving: M. Pittman Jr. (279)
Touchdowns: Z. Pascal (3)
Sacks: K. Turay (2)
Tackles: K. Moore II (18)
 
Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (1077)
Rushing: L. Jackson (279)
Receiving: M. Brown (326)
Touchdowns: M. Brown (3)
Sacks: O. Oweh (2)
Tackles: P. Queen (19)
 
Coaches:
Indianapolis Colts: Frank Reich (4th season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (14th season)
 

Weather Forecast

79 degrees F partly cloudy, 76% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds SE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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