Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/08/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, June 8, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +11, Thunder -11; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +11, Thunder -11; Over/Under:  228 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +10.5, Thunder -10.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the New York Knicks and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 19 while Obi Toppin was next on the team with 17 points. Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Aaron Nesmith led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.6% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 48-48-3 this season and their O/U record is 52-45-2.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 38 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 17 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.8% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 60-36-4 this season and their O/U record is 53-45-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. The Pacers are leading this series 1-0 after winning game 1 on the road. The Pacers took a 1-0 series lead with a 111-110 win over the Thunder in the 1st game of this series and the Pacers did what they have been doing all playoffs. They were trailing by double digits for a majority of that game and never led until the final shot, but they pulled off another big comeback win in the final minutes of that game. The Pacers have been rolling over teams all playoffs and they have won many games in that exact same fashion, but the Thunder are going to have a response after blowing that lead on their home floor. The Thunder had the best home record during the regular season with their 35-6 home record and they have been crushing teams at home in the playoffs, looking a lot better in their home games. The Thunder are going to be looking to bounce back in this one and that was a game that they were in control of for most of the night so they have shown that they can lead big against this Pacers team and they will be sure to put them away this time. The Thunder lost a similar game 1 in this exact way earlier in this run in their series against the Nuggets and they bounced back with a huge win in the next game so look for the Thunder to do the same in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, June 8, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 138 Pacers 111.

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Indiana Pacers: 5-11 ATS on the road against Northwest division opponents. 18-31 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 26-35 ATS off a road win. 26-12 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 20-13 OVER in all playoff games. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 29-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 87-49 ATS in home games. 23-10 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 27-19 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 30-14 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Walker (PF) Out - Ankle. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“We've had lots of experience in these kinds of games.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in game 1 of this series on Thursday.

“That’s a really good team. Credit them for not only tonight but their run. They've had so many games like that that have seemed improbable. And they just play with a great spirit and they keep coming. They keep playing.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 1 of this series on Thursday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)