Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, June 5, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +9.5, Thunder -9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +9.5, Thunder -9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +9.5, Thunder -9.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Knicks. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 31 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 21 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Tyrese Haliburton and Obi Toppin each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 54.1% from the field, 51.5% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 47-48-3 this season and their O/U record is 52-44-2.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves twice in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 34 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 22 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jalen Williams led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 52.3% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 60-35-4 this season and their O/U record is 53-44-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. Both of these teams have been rolling in the playoffs this year as both are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Pacers are coming off a 4-2 series win over the Knicks in the Eastern Conference Finals while the Thunder are coming off a 4-1 series win over the Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals. The Pacers have been rolling all throughout the playoffs, winning 4-1 in the other 2 rounds of the playoffs, but the Knicks gave them some more trouble in the last round. The Pacers breezed by the stronger teams they faced in the East, but the Eastern Conference was a lot weaker than the Western Conference this season and that could come back to bite the Pacers here. The Pacers have been good in their road games so far, but they were only 20-20 in their road games during the regular season. Now they are facing the best home team in the NBA who was 35-6 at home this year, and the Thunder have looked a lot better on their home court in these playoff games too. The Thunder looked unstoppable against the Timberwolves in the last round and even the way they finished that series against the Nuggets, they were rolling over them at home. The Thunder have been the best team in the NBA all season and they are going to show why in this game as they set the tone for this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, June 5, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 128 Pacers 114.

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Indiana Pacers: 4-11 ATS on the road against Northwest division opponents. 11-18 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 13-21 ATS off a home win. 26-11 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 20-12 OVER in all playoff games. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 29-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 14-6 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 23-9 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 27-18 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 40-22 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Indiana Pacers:  I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“Pascal and Tyrese put us on their backs and made sure we would not lose. But our work has just begun.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Knicks in game 6 of that series on Saturday.

“The most exciting thing about it is less about what exactly they're doing on the court. It's really not much different from what they do. I mean, they're playing their game, but they're doing it on this stage, and every time you check those boxes and conquer those hurdles, so to speak, you get better and more confident or wiser if you fall short. So the experiences are what's best for all those guys.” - Mark Daigneault on his team coming into this final playoff series. 

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)