Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/21/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 21, 2024

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  233 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  49-33 (1st place, Central Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  3-7 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 21-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Myles Turner led the team in points in that game with 31 while Pascal Siakam was next on the team with 28 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 65% from the field, 52.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 44-36-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-39-2.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 31-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis Jr. each led the team in points in that game with 17 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 16 points. Khris Middleton led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 91.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 35-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-41-1.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Bucks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 47-35 record overall which landed them in the 6th seed in the East, avoiding the play-in games. They haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 21-20 road record, but they have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which landed them in the 3rd seed in the East. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 31-11 home record, but now they are going to be without Giannis in this game and they have already been struggling in their games lately without him. The Bucks are only 3-7 in their last 10 games and lost 2 games in a row to end the season. Missing Giannis in this game is going to be a big loss for them, especially since the Pacers play at a very fast pace which will be tough for the Bucks to stop considering their defensive efforts from game to game. The Pacers haven't looked as good on the road but they can take advantage of the Bucks in this game without Giannis and they will cause problems in this game 1. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game.

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 21, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 133 Bucks 122.

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Indiana Pacers: 7-14 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 3-10 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 17-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 9-3 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 12-7 UNDER as a # 6 seed in the playoffs.

Milwaukee Bucks: 7-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 6-2 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. 10-5 UNDER as an underdog. 10-4 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more. 10-2 UNDER as a # 3 seed in the playoffs.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Bucks:  D. Lillard (PG) Ques Sun - Groin. A. Green (PG) Ques Sun - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Late April - Calf. J. Galloway (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“This organization is not an organization just happy to be in the playoffs. That’s not what this is about. This is not small-market, lowered expectations. We can’t have that.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Hawks in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.

“Jonathan Isaac changed the game for them. He's long, he's effective and we just kept setting pick-and-rolls with him instead of other guys.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Magic in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PG Damian Lillard

SG Patrick Beverley

SF Khris Middleton

PF Jae Crowder

C Brook Lopez

PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)

APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.5)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)