Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/23/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Dec 22, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 23, 2022
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5, Heat -5; Over/Under:  225 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5, Heat -5; Over/Under:  225 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5, Heat -5; Over/Under:  225 points
 

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  16-16 (3rd place, Central Division)
Miami Heat:  16-16 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  4-6 last 10
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

 

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
The Pacers are coming into this game with a 16-16 record overall and they are 7-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 33 while Aaron Nesmith was next on the team with 15 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jalen Smith led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.9% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.5 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 18-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-17-1.
 
 
 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 16-16 record overall and they are 9-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 19 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.9% from the field, 34.1% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 10-20-2 this season and their O/U record is 16-16.

 

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have been struggling a lot this season in their games but they have been better at home, not great, but still a lot better on their home court which gives them the best chance of winning here. The Pacers haven't been bad this season and they haven't even been that bad in their road games either. They just beat the Celtics on the road in their last game which will give them a lot of confidence coming into this one, but the Pacers also caught the Celtics in the middle of a big slump for them and they will have a much tougher time against the Heat who are going to be desperate to turn things around this season after being the number 1 seed in the East last season. The Heat have also been dealing with a lot of injuries to their group of players which has affected them in a negative way all season but they are starting to get healthier now and will be looking to bounce back after a loss to the struggling Bulls the other night. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.
 
Pacers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, December 23, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 115 Pacers 105.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Indiana Pacers: 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than the opponent. 29-14 OVER against Southeast division opponents. 46-17 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.
Miami Heat: 10-21 ATS in all games. 3-12 ATS in home games. 31-14 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders.
 

Key Injuries

 
Indiana Pacers:  K. Brown (SG) Early Jan - Leg. D. Theis (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Miami Heat:  C. Martin (SF) Ques Fri - Ankle. K. Lowry (PG) Ques Fri - Knee. U. Haslem (PF) Ques Fri - Achilles. J. Butler (PF) Ques Fri - Illness. G. Vincent (SG) Early Jan - Knee. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We were certainly aware that they were going to come out in the second half and put everything into making a furious run, and they did. I was just really proud of the way we hung tough in difficult stretches. We found ways to get stops and get the ball in the basket.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Wednesday.
 
 
“They have highly skilled offensive players, and if they see a few go down then they start to make quite a few shots." - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Bulls in their game on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton 
SG Andrew Nembhard 
SF Buddy Hield
PF Aaron Nesmith
C Myles Turner
 
Miami Heat
PG Victor Oladipo
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Jimmy Butler 
C Bam Adebayo
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Indiana Pacers
PPG: T. Haliburton (20)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.6)
Reb/G: M. Turner (7.8)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.9)
APG: J. Butler (5.9)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.9)
 
Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (2nd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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