Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/21/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Dec 21, 2021
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, December 21, 2021
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  TNT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers PK, Heat PK; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  13-18 (4th place, Central Division)
Miami Heat:  18-13 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  4-6 last 10
Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Indiana Pacers Analysis

The Pacers are coming into this game with a 13-18 record overall and they are 3-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Golden State Warriors and the Milwaukee Bucks while their win came against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Caris LeVert went off in that game as he led the team in points with 31 while Justin Holiday was next on the team with 17 points. Domantas Sabonis and Jeremy Lamb off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 6 each while Sabonis and Chris Duarte both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They were 49.5% from the field, 21.9% from 3-point range, and 89.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 108 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 15-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-17.
 
 

Miami Heat Analysis

The Heat are coming into this game with an 18-13 record overall and they are 8-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Orlando Magic while their loss came against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Max Strus led the team in points in that game off the bench with 24 while Kyle Lowry was next on the team with 19 points. Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Omer Yurtseven led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 37.8% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 106.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.7 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 18-13 this season and their O/U record is 17-14.
 
 

 

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are coming into this game as a PK with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have been playing much better than the Pacers have been in their recent matches. The Pacers have also struggled in their road games this season just 3-11 on the road while the Heat have been solid at home all season. The Heat have been missing some of their starters but they have so much depth on their team that they are still winning games and getting by just fine. The best bet to place in this game is on the Heat to cover the spread and to win this game straight up on the moneyline.
 
Pacers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, December 21, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 111 Pacers 107.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Indiana Pacers: 5-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 0-6 ATS as a road favorite. 1-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 11-20 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 20-29 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 
Miami Heat: 8-4 ATS in home games. 30-21 ATS against Central division opponents. 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 ATS off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more. 24-15 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite. 12-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.
 

Key Injuries

 
Indiana Pacers:  M. Brogdon (SG) Ques Tues - Achilles injury. T. McConnell (PG) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. T. Warren (SF) Early Jan - Foot injury.
Miami Heat:  Tyler Herro (SG) Ques Tues - Quadricep injury. P. Tucker (SF) Ques Tues - Knee injury. Jimmy Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Tailbone injury. Caleb Martin (SF) Out indefinitely - Illness. Victor Oladipo (SG) Late Dec - Quadricep injury. Bam Adebayo (C) Mid Jan - Thumb injury. Markieff Morris (PF) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The past couple weeks I've turned the corner with my body." - Caris LeVert after a win against the Pistons on Thursday night.
 
 
"(Strus) is like a few of our guys — Duncan (Robinson), Tyler (Herro) and even Gabe, to an extent — they're ignitable. They hit two (3-pointers) and immediately they're thinking three, four, five. They all can get in a roll and that's what we saw with Max." - Erik Spoelstra after a win against the Magic on Friday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Indiana Pacers
PG    Malcolm Brogdon
SG    Caris LeVert
SF    Justin Holiday
PF    Domantas Sabonis
C    Myles Turner
 
Miami Heat
PG     Kyle Lowry
SG     Duncan Robinson
SF     Max Strus
PF    KZ Okpala
C     Dewayne Dedmon
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Indiana Pacers
PPG: M. Brogdon (19.7)
APG: M. Brogdon (6.2)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (11.8)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22.8)
APG: K. Lowry (8.1)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.2)
 
Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (1st season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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