Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/22/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 21, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 22, 2024
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 
Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  237 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  237 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  39-31 (3rd place, Central Division)
Golden State Warriors:  36-32 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are entering this game with a 39-31 record overall and they are 18-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 25 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 20 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Isaiah Jackson led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 56.8% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.7 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 37-31-3 this season and their O/U record is 34-35-2.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 36-32 record overall and they are 18-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Jonathan Kuminga led the team in points in that game with 26 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 23 points. Chris Paul led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 58% from the field, 48.7% from 3-point range, and 33.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 37-30-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-33.


Pacers vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked decent in their games this season with their 36-32 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 18-18 home record, but they have looked a lot better over the last few weeks as they have been surging up the standings and have gotten themselves into a play-in spot. Meanwhile, the Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 39-31 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the East right now. They are right on the cusp of dropping into a play-in spot though and they haven't looked great in their road games with their 18-16 road record. They have still been a good road team this year but not a great one and the Warriors are on a mission to keep climbing the standings in the West right now. Neither of these teams has looked great lately as they are both 5-5 in their last 10 games, but this is still a really tough building to play in even though the Warriors haven't performed to their full potential there. The Warriors are going to have some momentum here since they looked a lot better in their win over the Grizzlies in their last one and their home advantage is going to be a key factor in this game too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 22, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 120 Pacers 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 9-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 11-5 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 22-15 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread. 26-19 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more. 

Golden State Warriors: 10-18 ATS as a home favorite. 4-10 ATS after scoring 136 points or more. 35-23 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 23-12 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread. 13-6 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Golden State Warriors:  None.


Notable Quotes


“Isaiah Jackson should be the poster person for every young player that is developing and supposed to be staying ready. Myles (Turner) was dealing with a little bit of a bug, so we knew Isaiah was going to get some extra minutes at home, and he changed the game when he got in there.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Wednesday.


“It was a fun game to watch.” - Steve Kerr on Chris Paul after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith 
PF Pascal Siakam 
C Myles Turner

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Draymond Green

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (21.6)
APG: T. Haliburton (11.2)
Reb/G: M. Turner (6.9)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (26.8)
APG: C. Paul (7.1)
Reb/G: D. Green (7.3)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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