Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4, Mavericks -4; Over/Under:  248 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4, Mavericks -4; Over/Under:  248 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  247.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  34-28 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  34-27 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 34-28 record overall and they are 14-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the New Orleans Pelicans and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. T. J. McConnell led the team in points in that game with 26 while Pascal Siakam was next on the team with 21 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.1% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 122 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 32-28-3 this season and their O/U record is 32-29-2.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 34-27 record overall and they are 18-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics and the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 38 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 28 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.5% from the field, 39% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 32-29 this season and their O/U record is 30-30-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 34-27 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have looked decent on their home court this season too with their 18-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Pacers have also looked good in their games this season with their 34-28 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They haven't been a good road team though with their 14-16 road record and they haven't looked good in their games lately either. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and don't have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 2 losses in a row, losing to one of the worst teams in the NBA in their last one too. The Mavericks have also lost 2 games in a row now but they have been the hotter team coming into this one with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games and their 2 losses also came against much better teams. The Mavericks will be looking to bounce back in this game on their home court and they will take advantage of the Pacers and their road struggles this season. The Mavericks have more talent on their side and they will bring their best effort here to bounce back after the way they lost to the 76ers in their last one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 117 Pacers 108.

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Indiana Pacers: 4-10 ATS off a road loss. 2-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more. 4-10 ATS off a double digit loss as a road favorite of 6 more. 11-6 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 26-11 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 20-9 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: 22-15 ATS as a favorite. 10-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 9-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 13-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-2 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 16-8 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Sheppard (SG) Ques Tues - Illness. D. McDermott (SF) Ques Tues - Calf.

Dallas Mavericks:  None.

“This is a team that is obviously a much different team than when we played them early. They just beat Oklahoma (City on Thursday). They play extremely hard. It’s a wild building. To overcome that stuff, we’ve just got to raise our level, our edge, our compete level, everything. It’s quite a test.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.

“Our offense is our defense. When we score, we’re going to be one of the best teams in this league. When we don’t score, we’re one of the worst teams. When we struggle to score, we tend to not do anything on the defensive end.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the 76ers in their game on Sunday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Josh Green

PF P.J. Washington 

C Dereck Lively II 

PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)

APG: T. Haliburton (11.3)

Reb/G: M. Turner (7.1)

PPG: L. Doncic (34.5)

APG: L. Doncic (9.7)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.9)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)