Indiana Hoosiers vs Saint Mary's Gaels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Mar 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, March 17, 2022
Venue:  Moda Center, Portland, OR
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +3, Saint Mary’s -3; Over/Under:  126.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +3, Saint Mary’s -3; Over/Under:  126.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +3, Saint Mary’s -3; Over/Under:  126.5 points
 

Season Record

Indiana Hoosiers:  21-13 (9th place, Big Ten)
Saint Mary's Gaels:  25-7 (2nd place, WCC)
 
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Indiana Hoosiers vs Saint Mary's Gaels Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Indiana Hoosiers:  3-2 last 5
Saint Mary's Gaels:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Indiana Hoosiers Analysis

Indiana is coming into this game with a 21-13 record overall and they are 4-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Iowa Hawkeyes while their 3 wins in that span came against the Michigan Wolverines, the Illinois Fighting Illini, and the Wyoming Cowboys in their last game. Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in points in that game with 29 while Jordan Geronimo was next on the team with 15 points. Xavier Johnson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jackson-Davis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.9% from the field, 15.4% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.7 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 20-14 this season and their O/U record is 16-18.
 
 

Saint Mary's Gaels Analysis

Saint Mary's is coming into this game with a 25-7 record overall and they are 3-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 5 game winning streak that they were on. Their 5 wins in that span were against the San Francisco Dons, the BYU Cougars, the San Diego Toreros, the Gonzaga Bulldogs, and the Santa Clara Broncos while their loss came against Gonzaga in their last game. Andrew Nembhard led the team in points in that game with 19 while Rasir Bolton was next on the team with 18 points. Nembhard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.4% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.5 PPG against them. Saint Mary's has an ATS record of 18-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 15-16.
 

 

Indiana vs Saint Mary's Prediction

Saint Mary's is coming into this game as a 3 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's has won 5 of their last 6 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game as they fell short to Gonzaga in the WCC tourney. They lost that game by double digits to the number 1 ranked team in the nation but they have been winning a lot of their other games by double digits recently and they even have a win against Gonzaga by 10 points in their last game of the season. They are going up against an Indiana side that has won 3 of their last 4 games and they made a decent run in the Big Ten tourney as well but they have also had to jump through so many hoops just to get this game that they must be a little exhausted from all the effort they have had to put into every single game. Saint Mary's has had more rest and they should be ready to roll in this game. Saint Mary's will cover the spread here and advance to the next round.
 
Indiana Saint Mary's Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 17, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 74 Indiana 67.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Indiana Hoosiers: 20-13 ATS in all games. 10-2 ATS in all neutral court games. 22-11 UNDER as an underdog.
Saint Mary's Gaels: 1-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. 16-25 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 109-70 UNDER after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.
 

Key Injuries

 
Indiana Hoosiers:  L. Duncomb (C) Ques Thurs - Illness. K. Lander (G) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed injury.
Saint Mary's Gaels:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I thought our defense was really the key when we were struggling offensively to make shots. But we just kept grinding, and I found another player tonight off the bench and that was Geronimo, who gave us a major, major lift tonight. And Trayce was who he's been pretty much all year." - Mike Woodson on his team’s win against Wyoming in the play-in game.
 
 
"Their offense is as good as any in the country. There's a lot of things you have to do right to have a chance and we did that for a while, but you have to do it for 40 minutes." - Randy Bennett on his team’s loss against Gonzaga in the WCC tourney. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Indiana Hoosiers
T. Jackson-Davis 
Xavier Johnson 
Miller Kopp 
P. Stewart 
R. Thompson 
 
Saint Mary's Gaels
K. Bowen 
A. Ducas 
L. Johnson 
T. Kuhse 
M. Tass
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Indiana Hoosiers
PPG: T. Jackson-Davis (17.4)
APG: X. Johnson (4.8)
Reb/G: T. Jackson-Davis (8.2)
 
Saint Mary's Gaels
PPG: M. Tass (12.5)
APG: T. Kuhse (3.6)
Reb/G: M. Tass (6.2)
 
Coaches:
Indiana Hoosiers: Mike Woodson (1st season)
Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (21st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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