Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 5, 2022
Venue: Mackey Complex, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Indiana +10, Purdue -10 Over/Under: 140.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Indiana +10.5, Purdue -10.5 Over/Under: 140.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Indiana +10.5, Purdue -10.5 Over/Under: 140.5 points
Season Record
Indiana Hoosiers: 18-11 (9th place, Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers: 24-6 (3rd place, Big Ten)
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Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Indiana Hoosiers: 2-3 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers: 3-2 last 5
Indiana Hoosiers Analysis
Indiana is coming into this game with an 18-11 record overall and they are 3-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their last conference matchup of the year and they are currently 9-10 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Maryland Terrapins and the Minnesota Golden Gophers while their loss came against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in their last game. Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in points in that game with 19 while Xavier Johnson was next on the team with 13 points. Miller Kopp, Johnson, and Rob Phinisee off the bench all led the team in assists in that game with 2 each while Jackson-Davis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.3 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 15-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-15.
Purdue Boilermakers Analysis
Purdue is coming into this game with a 24-6 record overall and they are 15-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the last conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 13-6 in their conference games this season. Their last win was against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights but they have gone on a 2 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Michigan State Spartans and the Wisconsin Badgers in their last game. Jaden Ivey led the team in points in that game with 22 while Zach Edey was next on the team with 17 points. Ivey led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Edey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.9% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-13.
Indiana vs Purdue Prediction
Indiana is coming into this game playing better in their recent games with 2 wins in their last 3 games but they have been very inconsistent all season and they are only 9-10 against conference opponents. They have been bad on the road as they are 3-7 this season and going up against a Purdue team that is ranked and is 15-1 at home. They have been playing very well all season with a 13-6 record against conference opponents but recently they have not been playing well and have even lost their last 2 games. Both losses were very close games on the road losing by 3 points each time. This is their last game of the regular season before getting ready for tournaments and the last thing they want to do is go into a tournament after finishing the season on a losing streak. Purdue will be hungry to bounce back at home here and they should get the win over an Indiana team that has not been good on the road and has been limping to the finish line this season. Purdue will win this game by double digits getting back on track in this one last game at home this season.
Indiana Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 5, 2022 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 82 Indiana 71.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Indiana Hoosiers: 18-11 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-1 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better. 20-9 UNDER as an underdog.
Purdue Boilermakers: 24-32 ATS against conference opponents. 6-19 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 24-17 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less.
Key Injuries
Indiana Hoosiers: K. Lander (G) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Galloway (G) Out indefinitely - Groin injury.
Purdue Boilermakers: S. Stefanovic (G) Ques Sat - Finger injury. B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
“Really it’s just what Coach Woodson wants me to do. Right now, he wants me to be a back-to-the basket player for us. Obviously I feel like I can do more, but at the same time, if he thinks that helps us win, I’ll do that for him. That’s Coach Woodson’s game plan, playing inside out, and that’s what we’re going to do.'' Trayce Jackson-Davis on Mike Woodson this season.
"In terms of what we did at the end of the game, I wouldn't trade anything. I thought our defense on Johnny Davis when he banked it in was good. I thought our defense on Hepburn when he banked it in was good. You get beat by two good shots that are so far off they bank in, it's bad luck right there." - Matt Painter on his team’s loss against Wisconsin.
Starting Lineups
Indiana Hoosiers
T. Jackson-Davis
Xavier Johnson
Miller Kopp
P. Stewart
R. Thompson
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey
C. Furst
J. Ivey
Sasha Stefanovic
I. Thompson
Statistical Leaders
Indiana Hoosiers
PPG: T. Jackson-Davis (17.5)
APG: X. Johnson (4.5)
Reb/G: T. Jackson-Davis (8.2)
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.4)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.5)
Coaches:
Indiana Hoosiers: Mike Woodson (1st season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)