Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/20/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 19, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Venue:  Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI 
Where to Watch:  Peacock


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +15.5, Michigan -15.5; Over/Under:  162.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +16.5, Michigan -16.5; Over/Under:  161.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +16.5, Michigan -16.5; Over/Under:  161.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Hoosiers:  12-6 (3-4) (12th place, Big Ten)
Michigan Wolverines:  16-1 (6-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Indiana Hoosiers:  2-3  last 5
Michigan Wolverines:  4-1  last 5


Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines Preview and Analysis


Indiana is entering this game with a 12-6 record overall, a 3-4 record in conference games, and they are 1-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Tayton Conerway led the team in points in that game with 16 while Sam Alexis was next on the team with 13. Tayton Conerway led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Sam Alexis led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 38.5% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 8-10 this season and their O/U record is 9-9.


Michigan is entering this game with a 16-1 record overall, a 6-1 conference record, and they are 7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oregon Ducks in their last game. Elliot Cadeau led the team in points in that game with 17 while Nimari Burnett was next on the team with 15. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49% from the field, 39.1% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 93.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 9-8 this season and their O/U record is 7-10.



Indiana vs Michigan Prediction

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 16-1 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 7-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Indiana has looked good in their games this season with their 12-6 record overall, but their 3-4 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big Ten. They haven't been a great road team either with their 1-3 road record this year. Indiana had a really good start to the season and they looked like they were going to take some big steps toward improving this year, but they have struggled since the conference schedule started and they are starting to show that they don't have the talent to compete with the best teams in the Big Ten. They have looked terrible lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and they are off a bad home loss to Iowa in their last one. Michigan has been rolling all season though, going 4-1 in their last 5 games, and their only loss this season was at home against Wisconsin in a game where Wisconsin got hot. Michigan has had some close calls since that loss, but they are off a big road win over Oregon in their last one and have corrected a lot of the issues they were dealing with in those tight games. Now Michigan is back at home and they have looked like one of the best teams in the nation all season with multiple wins by over 20 points this year, this game will be no different for them against an inferior Indiana team. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 20, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 90 Indiana 66.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Indiana Hoosiers Michigan Wolverines prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Indiana Hoosiers: 15-22 ATS as an underdog. 1-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 4-7 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more. 18-27 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 6-2 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 6-3 OVER off a home loss against a conference rival.

Michigan Wolverines: 6-2 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 6-2 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 6-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 16-9 OVER after playing a road game. 7-4 OVER off a road win against a conference rival.

Key Injuries


Indiana Hoosiers:  J. Drake (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Rayford (G) Out - Undisclosed. J. Harris (F) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Michigan Wolverines:  R. Liburd (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

Notable Quotes


“It’s been pretty similar, and we’ve got to figure out a way to get a little more rest probably for those guys. As we get into the middle of the second half, there’s 10, 12 minutes to go — and it’s been consistent the last three games — we look fatigued. That’s where some of that maybe sloppiness and the turnovers, and that’s where you start to see some of that showing up.” - Darian DeVries on his team in the 2nd half of their last 3 games. 


“I thought in the first half, he was the one who really kind of carried more than his share of the weight. I thought he was poised. I thought he was mature. He made big shots, and in the second half, we talked about that group, but I thought him driving and starting some driving kicks, and that became contagious, versus trying to drive and score on two or three guys, which we did a lot in the first half.” - Dusty May on Nimari Burnett after his team’s win against Oregon in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Indiana Hoosiers
R. Bailey 
T. Conerway 
T. DeVries 
C. Enright 
L. Wilkerson

Michigan Wolverines
N. Burnett 
E. Cadeau 
M. Johnson 
Y. Lendeborg 
A. Mara

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Hoosiers
PPG: Lamar Wilkerson (19.6)
APG: Tayton Conerway (4.5)
Reb/G: Tucker DeVries (4.8)

Michigan Wolverines
PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (14.1)
APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.2)
Reb/G: Aday Mara (7.2)

Coaches:
Indiana Hoosiers: Darian DeVries (1st season)
Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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