Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/02/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024

Venue:  Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI 

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Indiana Hoosiers:  8-0 (5-0) (1st place, Big Ten)

Michigan State Spartans:  4-4 (2-3) (12th place, Big Ten)

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Indiana Hoosiers:  won their last game at home against the Washington Huskies 31-17.

Michigan State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Michigan Wolverines 24-17.

Indiana is entering this game with an 8-0 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Washington 31-17. Tayven Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 11/19 passes for 124 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Justice Ellison led the team in rushing yards with 123 and 1 TD. Omar Cooper Jr. led the receivers with 42 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Aiden Fisher led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Shawn Asbury II and Mikail Kamara each led the defense in sacks with 1. D'Angelo Ponds came away with the 2 interceptions for them in that one.

 

 

 

Michigan State is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Michigan 24-17. Aidan Chiles was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 189 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nathan Carter led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 1 TD. Nathan Carter led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Malik Spencer led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Indiana listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Indiana has looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which has them at the top of the Big Ten with one of the best records in the entire country. They aren't ranked inside the top 10, but they are still a ranked team and will be looking to prove that they should be ranked higher than they currently are. Meanwhile, Michigan State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall and their 2-3 conference record which has them near the bottom of the Big Ten. They are coming off a road loss against Michigan in their last one and their offense has been a big issue for them this season. They are going to be at home for this one and their defense has looked good this year, but Indiana also has a great defense so Michigan State isn't going to get much done when they haven't been putting up a ton of points this season in general. Indiana not only has a good defense that is going to cause problems for Michigan State's offense, but they also have a great offense that has been putting up a ton of points all year, one of the best scoring offenses in the entire country. They showed last week that they can still win without their starting QB and this game will be no different as they look to stay undefeated and give themselves a real chance at the Big Ten Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on Indiana to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Indiana 31 Michigan State 7.

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Indiana Hoosiers: 9-5 ATS as a favorite. 5-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 11-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 5-0 ATS in games played on a grass field. 

Michigan State Spartans: 3-6 ATS as a home underdog. 3-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 3-8 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 1-5 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.

Indiana Hoosiers:  K. Rourke (QB) Questionable - Thumb. V. Fiacable (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Philostin (DB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Depaepe (DL) Out - Undisclosed. N. Kidwell (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Michigan State Spartans:  C. Rucker (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Dunn (DL) Out - Undisclosed. M. Masunas (TE) Out - Shoulder. G. Broscious (OL) Out - Lower Body. K. Phillips (OL) Out - Undisclosed. K. Majeed (DB) Out - Lower Body. D. Tatum (DB) Out - Lower Body.

“Optimistic on Kurtis Rourke, he’s thrown the last few days, building up. (His) workload will increase as the week goes on. That’s all I’m going to say about it.” - Curt Cignetti on the injury to his starting QB.

“I look at both ends of halves, we didn’t finish well at all.” - Jonathan Smith after his team’s loss against Michigan in their last game. 

WR Sarratt, Elijah

WR Cross, Miles 

WR Price, Myles 

TE Horton, Zach 

QB Jackson, Tayven

RB Lawton, Ty Son

WR Marsh, Nick 

WR Glover, Jaron  

WR Foster Jr., Montorie 

TE Velling, Jack

QB Chiles, Aidan 

RB Carter, Nate 

FB Coyne, Jay 

Passing: K. Rourke (1941)

Rushing: J. Ellison (637)

Receiving: E. Sarratt (590)

Touchdowns: J. Ellison (9)

Passing: A. Chiles (1657)

Rushing: K. Lynch-Adams (459)

Receiving: N. Marsh (475)

Touchdowns: A. Chiles (3)

Coaches:

Indiana Hoosiers: Curt Cignetti (1st season)

Michigan State Spartans: Jonathan Smith (1st season)