Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/13/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Venue:  Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI 

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +6.5, Michigan State -6.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +6.5, Michigan State -6.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +6.5, Michigan State -6.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Indiana Hoosiers:  12-4 (3-2) (8th place, Big Ten)

Michigan State Spartans:  14-2 (4-1) (4th place, Big Ten)

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Indiana Hoosiers:  4-1  last 5

Michigan State Spartans:  4-1  last 5

Indiana is entering this game with a 12-4 record overall, a 3-2 record in conference games, and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game. Lamar Wilkerson led the team in points in that game with 32 while Tucker DeVries was next on the team with 17. Tayton Conerway led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Reed Bailey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 82% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 8-8 this season and their O/U record is 9-7.

Michigan State is entering this game with a 14-2 record overall, a 4-1 conference record, and they are 9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Carson Cooper led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jaxon Kohler and Jeremy Fears Jr. each were next on the team with 15. Jeremy Fears Jr. and Divine Ugochukwu each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Carson Cooper led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49% from the field, 28% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.5 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 6-8-2 this season and their O/U record is 5-11.

The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State has looked great in their games this season with their 14-2 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 9-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Indiana has looked good in their games this season with their 12-4 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them right in the top half of the Big Ten. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-2 road record this year. Indiana has had a good start to the season and look like they could be a threat to make the tournament, but they definitely don't have the talent that some of the other teams in the Big Ten have. They have looked good lately, but they are off a loss to undefeated Nebraska in their last one and had a chance to knock them off, but they blew a huge lead in that game and were completely outplayed in the 2nd half. They haven't done too well against the stronger opponents they have faced this season either. Michigan State has also looked great lately with 2 wins in a row now, and they are off a win over Northwestern in their last one. They do have 1 conference loss this season which also came against undefeated Nebraska, but Michigan State lost that game by 2 points on the road and put up a much better fight right to the end. Their only home loss this year was to Duke who is one of the best teams in the nation, but Michigan State has been rolling over opponents on their home court all year and they have the talent to be one of the best teams in the Big Ten this season. Indiana had their chance to take down Nebraska at home and couldn't, they aren't going to have as much in the tank for this road game after that deflating loss. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 13, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan State 80 Indiana 66.

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Indiana Hoosiers: 15-21 ATS as an underdog. 1-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 18-25 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 24-18 UNDER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 29-23 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more.

Michigan State Spartans: 25-17 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 18-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 34-21 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less. 30-14 UNDER in all home games. 7-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5.

Indiana Hoosiers:  J. Drake (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Rayford (G) Out - Undisclosed. J. Harris (F) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Michigan State Spartans:  K. Glenn (F) Out - Knee.

“I think the number one thing was just the paint touches they got, and then there was some high ball screens and things that we messed up some switches, which we did a good job of, you know, for a good part of the game. Then second half we didn't communicate that well enough, and they were able to get to the rim and got a few free-throws there early to start and got some of those paint touches. Then a few of the live ball turnovers, you know, the 14 turnovers, it's a pretty simple deal. You take care of the basketball; you win the game. We got that lead, and then we had, I don't know, four out of five possessions I think we turned the ball over during a 10-0 run when we had the lead up to 16. That's just something that you just can't do if you're going to beat a good team.” - Darian DeVries after his team’s loss against Nebraska in their last game. 

“I take responsibility for this team's ineptness. We looked mentally tired, and that falls on me. 3 games in 6 days, we didn't look very good." - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Northwestern in their last game. 

R. Bailey 

T. Conerway 

T. DeVries 

C. Enright 

L. Wilkerson

C. Carr 

C. Cooper 

J. Fears 

J. Kohler 

D. Ugochukwu

PPG: Lamar Wilkerson (20.3)

APG: Conor Enright (4.6)

Reb/G: Tucker DeVries (5.1)

PPG: Jaxon Kohler (14.3)

APG: Jeremy Fears Jr. (8.8)

Reb/G: Jaxon Kohler (10.1)

Coaches:

Indiana Hoosiers: Darian DeVries (1st season)

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (31st season)