Indiana Hoosiers vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  SECU Stadium, College Park, MD

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +14, Maryland -14; Over/Under:  50 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +14.5, Maryland -14.5; Over/Under:  50 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +14, Maryland -14; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Indiana Hoosiers:  2-2 (0-1) (7th place, Big Ten East)

Maryland Terrapins:  4-0 (1-0) (2nd place, Big Ten East)

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Indiana Hoosiers:  won their last game at home against the Akron Zips in OT 29-27.

Maryland Terrapins:  won their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 31-9.

Indiana is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Akron in OT 29-27. Tayven Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 11/26 passes for 190 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Christian Turner led the team in rushing yards with 67 and 1 TD. Alex Adams led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Brian McCoy led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Antavious Fish, Shammond Cooper, and Antionio Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Andrew Behm came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Maryland is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Michigan State 31-9. Taulia Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 21/36 passes for 223 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Colby McDonald led the team in rushing yards with 38. Tai Felton led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dante Trader Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Caleb Wheatland led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Beau Brade, Tarheeb Still, and Glendon Miller each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Maryland listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Maryland is 4-0 this season as they are off to a really good start but they have also looked a lot better in their wins this year than they did last season at this time. They have been rolling teams in their games and they already have a conference win under their belt as they won on the road last week against MSU. Indiana is only 2-2 this season and they don't have a great team this year as they even struggled to beat Akron at home last week, a game they needed OT to win. Indiana has also been a lot better on defense this year but their offense hasn't been putting up a ton of points. They will get some stops on this Maryland offense but Maryland has had a really strong offense this season and they will eventually wear down this Indiana defense as the game goes on, especially when the offense won't be able to stay on the field. The best way to place a bet here is on Maryland to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Maryland Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Maryland 38 Indiana 17.

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Indiana Hoosiers: 9-19 ATS in all games. 2-8 ATS as a road underdog. 6-13 ATS against conference opponents. 40-20 OVER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 30-16 OVER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 45-20 OVER off a home win.

Maryland Terrapins: 8-4 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 10-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 23-15 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-2 OVER after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. 

Indiana Hoosiers:  T. Laing (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. O. Greenlow (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. E. Williams Jr. (WR) Ques Sat - Hand. J. Bomba (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Henderson (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Longman (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Johnson (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Williams II (QB) Late Oct - Knee.

Maryland Terrapins:  D. Duffus (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Gooden (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Avery (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Jennings (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Ray (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Richards (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Brown (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Williams (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. L. Husbands (TE) out for season - Undisclosed.

“It shouldn’t have been in overtime. Really, really frustrating in a lot of ways but proud of our defense. Offense was really, really out of sync and performed poorly but found a way to get that final two-point conversion there with a great call.” - Tom Allen after his team’s win against Akron in their last game. 

“We talked all week long and for the last couple of weeks about getting off to a fast start, and that’s what we’re able to do. Defense came up big early on with the turnovers. We were able to convert those to scores. Anytime you come up with turnovers like we did today, it really helps you on the offensive side of the ball.” - Mike Locksley after his team’s win against MSU in their last game. 

WR Williams Jr., E.J. 

WR Camper, Cam 

WR Carter, Dequece 

TE Archer, Bradley  

QB Jackson, Tayven 

RB Henderson, Josh 

WR Felton, Tai  

WR Prather, Kaden 

WR Jones, Jeshaun 

TE Dyches, Corey 

QB Tagovailoa, Taulia 

RB Hemby, Roman 

Passing: T. Jackson (749)

Rushing: J. Lucas (184)

Receiving: C. Camper (249)

Touchdowns: J. Lucas (3)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1112)

Rushing: R. Hemby (255)

Receiving: K. Prather (209)

Touchdowns: R. Hemby (4)

Coaches:

Indiana Hoosiers: Tom Allen (8th season)

Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (6th season)