Illinois Fighting Illini vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 23, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 26, 2024
Venue:  Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Illinois +21, Oregon -21; Over/Under:  54.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Illinois +21.5, Oregon -21.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Illinois +21.5, Oregon -21.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Season Record

Illinois Fighting Illini:  6-1 (3-1) (4th place, Big Ten)
Oregon Ducks:  7-0 (4-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Illinois Fighting Illini:  won their last game at home against the Michigan Wolverines 21-7.
Oregon Ducks:  won their last game on the road against the Purdue Boilermakers 35-0.


Illinois Fighting Illini vs Oregon Ducks Preview and Analysis


Illinois is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Michigan 21-7. Luke Altmyer was the starting QB and he completed 9/18 passes for 80 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Aidan Laughery led the team in rushing yards with 54. Pat Bryant led the receivers with 32 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Gabe Jacas led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Gabe Jacas led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Matthew Bailey came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Oregon is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Purdue 35-0. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 21/25 passes for 290 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 50 and 2 TDs. Evan Stewart led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Teitum Tuioti led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Teitum Tuioti, Matayo Uiagalelei, and Devon Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kameryn Alexander came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Illinois vs Oregon Prediction

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them at the top of the Big Ten with one of the best records in the conference. They have looked great in their home games with their 4-0 home record and they are coming off a 35-0 win over Purdue in their last one. They also have a big upset win over Ohio State in their last home game and they are going to be motivated as they are now in the driver seat for the Big Ten. Meanwhile, Illinois has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them near the top of the Big Ten. They do have a loss in the conference though, losing to Penn State on the road, and they have struggled in some of their games against stronger opponents. Their defense has looked great this season, but their offense has struggled to put up points like they did last week in their win over Michigan. This isn't going to be an easy game for them on the road on the West Coast, especially against one of the best teams in the entire country. Illinois will struggle to put up points in this game and Oregon won't. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Illinois Oregon Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 26, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon 38 Illinois 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Illinois Fighting Illini Oregon Ducks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Illinois Fighting Illini: 10-5 ATS as an underdog. 7-2 ATS as a road underdog. 6-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-0 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 10-4 UNDER as an underdog. 7-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Oregon Ducks: 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 1-3 1H ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 11-6 1H UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-4 1H UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 

Key Injuries


Illinois Fighting Illini:  M. Moller (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brown (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Feagin (RB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Hollins (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Muragin (OLB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Rusk (TE) Out - Knee.

Oregon Ducks:  T. Ferguson (TE) Questionable - Appendix. K. Terrell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Holden (WR) Questionable - Poss. Suspension. J. Burch (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kasper (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Grisham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Iuli (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Questionable - Leg. D. Fields (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bedford (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“This is what I came here for. I’ve heard so many times about things we haven’t done here. Leave the past in the past. Let’s move forward. For this first time, I felt like we had a home-field advantage today. I want today to be the standard. We had a crowd that affected the game." - Bret Bielema after his team’s win against Michigan in their last game. 


“I think we showed what we’re capable of. It’s our first shutout in a long time. This conference is tough, and you've got to be able to go on the road and get a win.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Purdue in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Illinois Fighting Illini
WR Franklin, Zakhari
WR Bryant, Pat 
WR Dixon, Collin 
TE Arkin, Tanner
QB Altmyer, Luke
RB Laughery, Aidan 

Oregon Ducks
WR Holden, Traeshon
WR Stewart, Evan
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Herbert, Patrick 
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB James, Jordan

Statistical Leaders


Illinois Fighting Illini
Passing: L. Altmyer (1506)
Rushing: K. Feagin (306)
Receiving: P. Bryant (484)
Touchdowns: P. Bryant (7)

Oregon Ducks
Passing: D. Gabriel (2080)
Rushing: J. James (717)
Receiving: T. Johnson (536)
Touchdowns: J. James (8)

Coaches:
Illinois Fighting Illini: Bret Bielema (4th season)
Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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