by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 15, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 17, 2023
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texans +3, Titans -3; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texans +3, Titans -3; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texans +3, Titans -3; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
Houston Texans: 7-6 (3rd place, AFC South)
Tennessee Titans: 5-8 (4th place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Houston Texans: lost their last game on the road against the New York Jets 30-6.
Tennessee Titans: won their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 28-27.
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Preview and Analysis
The Texans are entering this game with a 7-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 30-6. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 10/23 passes for 91 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Davis Mills who completed 1/5 passes for 4 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 65 and 1 TD. Brevin Jordan led the receivers with 35 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Christian Harris led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jonathan Greenard led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Titans are entering this game with a 5-8 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 28-27. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 327 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 34 and 2 TDs. DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 124 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Harold Landry III led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Texans vs Titans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Titans listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Titans haven't looked good this season with their 5-8 record overall but they have looked a lot better in their games with Will Levis running the offense. They have also looked really good in their home games all year with their 4-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Texans have looked good this season with their 7-6 record overall which has them right in the Wild Card race for the AFC. They haven't looked as good in their road games though with their 2-4 road record and their starting QB CJ Stroud is also questionable for this game. The Texans just lost last week on the road to the Jets while the Titans are going to have a lot of momentum from their win on the road against the Dolphins. The Titans have been a force in their home games all season and they will be looking to play some spoiler here for the Texans playoff hopes as they take advantage of their banged up team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Titans to cover the spread in this game.
Texans Titans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Titans 31 Texans 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Houston Texans: 18-25 ATS off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. 3-6 ATS after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game. 9-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points.
Tennessee Titans: 30-20 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 6-3 ATS off a road win. 7-3 ATS after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 30-18 UNDER in all games. 11-2 UNDER as a home favorite. 11-5 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans: H. To'oto'o (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. S. Mason (G) Ques Sun - Calf. N. Brown (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. G. Fant (OT) Ques Sun - Hip. W. Anderson Jr. (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle. K. Fairbairn (K) Ques Sun - Quadricep. C. Keenum (QB) Ques Sun - Calf. D. Schultz (TE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Stroud (QB) Ques Sun - Concussion. B. Cashman (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Thomas (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Collins (WR) Ques Sun - Calf. T. Dell (WR) I-R - Leg. T. Howard (OT) I-R - Knee. D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.
Tennessee Titans: K. Rader (TE) Ques Sun - Illness. K. Philips (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Gibbens (LB) Ques Sun - Back. K. Peko (DT) I-R - Calf. K. Fulton (CB) I-R - Hamstring. J. Whyle (TE) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Stonehouse (P) I-R - Knee. J. Jones (LB) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Simmons (DT) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Hubbard (OL) I-R - Bicep. C. Campbell (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Upper Body. J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We’ll see how he progresses throughout the week.” - DeMeco Ryans on the concussion to CJ Stroud after his team’s loss against the Jets in their last game.
“Everybody thought this was going to be another Miami-Broncos 70 points put on us. But we don’t care about the outside noise.” - Arden Key after their win against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Brown, Noah
WR Woods, Robert
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Singletary, Devin
FB Beck, Andrew
Tennessee Titans
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Burks, Treylon
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem
QB Levis, Will
RB Henry, Derrick
Statistical Leaders
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (3631)
Rushing: D. Singletary (590)
Receiving: N. Collins (1004)
Touchdowns: T. Dell (7)
Tennessee Titans
Passing: W. Levis (1593)
Rushing: D. Henry (875)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (898)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (10)
Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)
Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
