Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/12/2026

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Sunday, January 12, 2026

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans -3, Steelers +3; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans -3, Steelers +3; Over/Under:  39.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans -3.5, Steelers +3.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Houston Texans:  12-5 (2nd place, AFC South)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  10-7 (1st place, AFC North)

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Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 38-30.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 26-24.

The Texans are entering this game with a 12-5 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-2 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 38-30. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 169 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. British Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 63. Xavier Hutchinson led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Danielle Hunter led the defense in sacks with 1. Alijah Huzzie came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 10-7 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 26-24. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 31/47 passes for 294 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 66. Kenneth Gainwell led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Cameron Heyward led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Derrick Harmon, Alex Highsmith, and Nick Herbig each led the defense in sacks with 1. T. J. Watt came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked great in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which had them right near the top of the AFC South. They have been a good road team too with their 5-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 10-7 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC North. They have looked good on their home field too with their 5-3 home record this season. The Steelers have looked good to end the regular season, coming off a 26-24 win over the Ravens to secure this spot and home game by winning the division. As good as they have looked down the stretch, they fell short in a game against the Browns 2 weeks ago when they had a chance to clinch the division, and they have had a really up and down season all year. The Texans had a terrible start to the season as they were 0-3 after their first 3 games, but they turned things around with one of the best defenses in the NFl and ended the regular season on a 9 game winning streak. Their offense hasn't looked great at times, but it has definitely gotten better over the last few weeks, and they have one of the best defenses in the NFL to lean on since they don't give up many points. This Steelers defense has a lot of talent, but they haven't looked great in a lot of their games this year, and the offense has looked terrible at times as they don't have a lot of talent on that side of the ball. The Steelers were able to win that final game of the season against the Ravens to get here, but this is where their journey ends against a better Texans team coming into town. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 12, 2026 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Texans 27 Steelers 13.

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Houston Texans: 9-2 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 12-3 ATS after playing a division game. 16-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 32-20 UNDER in all games. 9-4 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 3-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 1-5 1H ATS against AFC South division opponents. 9-16 1H ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 8-4 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.

Houston Texans:  N. Collins (WR) Out - NIR-Rest. A. Carter (CB) Out - Hamstring. D. Taylor (DL) Out - Ankle. T. Brown (OT) Questionable - Ankle. D. Schultz (TE) Injured - NIR-Personal. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Knee. E. Ingram (OG) Injured - Ankle. D. Autry (DL) Injured - Knee. K. Fairbairn (K) Injured - Illness. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Injured - Oblique. J. Hill (LB) Out - Calf. K. Lassiter (CB) Out - Ankle. A. Brinkman (LS) Injured - Knee. A. Ersery (OT) Injured - Thumb. S. Rankins (DL) Injured - Elbow.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  C. Heyward (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Wrist. T. Watt (LB) Injured - Lung. I. Seumalo (OG) Injured - Triceps. C. Kuntz (LS) Injured - Knee. J. Pierre (CB) Injured - Calf. C. Austin III (WR) Injured - Hamstring. M. Harrison (LB) Injured - Knee. B. Skowronek (WR) Injured - Hand. B. Echols (CB) Injured - Groin.

“Our guys were able to accomplish a lot of great things. No matter how dim it looked to start the season, I’m proud our guys for continue to battle every single week and finding a way to win games. Now we finish on a high note to win against a really good team.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game. 

“The belief level in the locker room after a win like this is exponentially greater.” - Aaron Rodgers after their win against the Ravens in their last game. 

WR Collins, Nico

WR Higgins, Jayden

WR Kirk, Christian

TE Schultz, Dalton

QB Stroud, C.J.

RB Marks, Woody

FB Brooks, British

WR Metcalf, DK

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez

WR Thielen, Adam

TE Freiermuth, Pat

QB Rodgers, Aaron

RB Gainwell, Kenneth

Passing: C.J. Stroud (3,041)

Rushing: Woody Marks (703)

Receiving: Nico Collins (1,117)

Touchdowns: Nico Collins (7)

Passing: Aaron Rodgers (3,322)

Rushing: Jaylen Warren (958)

Receiving: DK Metcalf (850)

Touchdowns: Jaylen Warren (8)

Coaches:

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (3rd season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)