Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/21/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 21, 2024

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans -3, Chiefs +3; Over/Under:  40 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans -3, Chiefs +3; Over/Under:  40 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans -2.5, Chiefs +2.5; Over/Under:  40 points

Houston Texans:  9-5 (1st place, AFC South)

Kansas City Chiefs:  13-1 (1st place, AFC West)

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Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 20-12.

Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 21-7.

The Texans are entering this game with a 9-5 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 20-12. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 131 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dare Ogunbowale led the team in rushing yards with 35. Joe Mixon led the receivers with 33 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Danielle Hunter led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Derek Stingley Jr. led the defense in INTs with 2 while Calen Bullock came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 13-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 21-7. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 19/38 passes for 159 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 45. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Trent McDuffie led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis led the defense in sacks with 2. Trent McDuffie, Nick Bolton, Bryan Cook, and Jaden Hicks each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 13-1 record overall which has them leading the AFC West with the best record in the entire NFL. Patrick Mahomes picked up an injury in that game and could miss some time, but there is also a chance that he plays in this game. The offense hasn't looked great with him this season, but they have one of the best defenses in the NFL and they keep finding ways to win ugly games so they will be able to figure it out even if Mahomes misses a game. Meanwhile, the Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 9-5 record overall which leads the AFC South. They are coming off a win over the Dolphins last week, but they haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 4-3 road record. They also clinched their division with their win and the Colts loss last week so the pressure is off them a bit in this game. The Texans haven't looked great on defense though, and their offense definitely doesn't look as good as it did last season. The Chiefs defense looked a lot better last week and they are going to put a ton of pressure on this Texans offensive line. Even with Mahomes out, the Chiefs have one of the best defenses in the NFL and a lot of talent in their offense, they will be a tough team to beat at home as long as Reid is still the head coach there. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, December 21, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 21 Texans 19.

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Houston Texans: 5-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 15-8 ATS after playing a game at home. 5-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 30-18 UNDER in all games. 16-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 11-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Kansas City Chiefs: 1-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 3-7 ATS in December games. 7-16 ATS in the second half of the season. 20-6 UNDER in home games. 6-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 13-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Houston Texans:  N. Broeker (G) Questionable - Hand. J. Hill (LB) Questionable - Knee. K. Green (G) Questionable - Shoulder. X. Hutchinson (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Autry (DE) Injured - Knee. F. Fatukasi (DT) Injured - Foot. C. Harris (LB) Questionable - Calf. J. Scruggs (OL) Out - Foot. J. Mixon (RB) Injured - Rest. J. Pitre (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. N. Collins (WR) Injured - Rest. R. Woods (WR) Injured - Personal. L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Rest.

Kansas City Chiefs:  D. Humphries (OT) Out - Hamstring. H. Butker (K) Undefined - Knee. H. Brown (WR) Out - Shoulder. J. Williams (CB) Injured - Chest. J. Taylor (T) Injured - Knee. C. Omenihu (DE) Injured - Knee.

“Stingley is playing just unbelievable football right now.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game. 

“It's not broken, that's all I can tell you. We'll have to see how it goes down the road.” - Andy Reid on the injury to Patrick Mahomes after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game. 

WR Collins, Nico

WR Dell, Tank  

WR Metchie III, John

TE Schultz, Dalton

QB Stroud, C.J.

RB Mixon, Joe 

WR Hopkins, Deandre 

WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu

WR Worthy, Xavier

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: C. Stroud (3248)

Rushing: J. Mixon (910)

Receiving: N. Collins (849)

Touchdowns: J. Mixon (12)

Passing: P. Mahomes (3348)

Rushing: K. Hunt (653)

Receiving: T. Kelce (709)

Touchdowns: X. Worthy (7)

Coaches:

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)