Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/18/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 16, 2022
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 18, 2022
Venue:  Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  CBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +10, Broncos -10; Over/Under:  46 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +10, Broncos -10; Over/Under:  46 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +10, Broncos -10; Over/Under:  46 points
 

Season Record

Houston Texans:  0-0-1 (1st place, AFC South)
Denver Broncos:  0-1 (3rd place, AFC West)
 
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Houston Texans:  tied their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 20-20.
Denver Broncos:  lost their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 17-16.

 

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis

 
The Texans are entering this game with a 0-0-1 record overall and they are playing their 1st road game of the season here. Their offense is averaging 299 YPG and 20 PPG while their defense is allowing 517 YPG and 20 PPG against them. They tied their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 20-20 after overtime. Davis Mills was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 23/37 passes for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rex Burkhead led the team in rushing with 40 yards on 14 rushing attempts. Brandin Cooks led the team in receiving with 82 yards on 7 receptions. Kamu Grugier-Hill led the defense in that game with 14 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. Jerry Hughes led the defense in sacks with 2 while he also came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Broncos are entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they are playing their 1st home game of the season here. Their offense is averaging 433 YPG and 16 PPG while their defense is allowing 253 YPG and 17 PPG against them. They lost their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 17-16. Russell Wilson was the starting QB in that game and he completed 29/42 passes for 340 yards and 1 touchdown. Melvin Gordon led the team in rushing with 58 yards on 12 carries. Jerry Jeudy led the team in receiving with 102 yards and 1 TD on 4 catches. Ronald Darby led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Bradley Chubb led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 

 

Texans vs Broncos Prediction

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos didn't look good in their season opener losing on Monday night to the Seahawks, Russell Wilson's former team. Wilson was very emotional in that game though, coming back to the place he spent his whole career and in his very 1st game as a Bronco too. He is going to bounce back here at home and have a much better game now. The Texans almost beat the Colts in Week 1 but the Texans were very fortunate to come away with a tie since they didn't really play well and struggled to move the ball the entire game. Their defense also got shredded in yards despite only giving up the 20 points, it was still not a good game for them and that was at home too. Now they go on the road here into a high altitude where it is difficult to play and this is still a Texans team that doesn't have a ton of talent on it. This should be a get right spot for the Broncos and Wilson will get his 1st win with the team in a blowout at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
 
Texans Broncos Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 18, 2022 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Broncos 27 Texans 10.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Houston Texans: 14-20 ATS in all games. 5-11 ATS in road games. 14-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 
Denver Broncos: 30-23 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 21-13 UNDER in all games. 11-7 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Texans:  T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Rivers (DL) I-R - Bicep. J. Metchie III (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Denver Broncos:  T. Compton (T) Out indefinitely - Back. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Knee. C. Allen (LB) I-R - Foot.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously we didn't lose the game, but it kind of feels that way since we were up, we were doing so many good things in the beginning and then they came back." - Christian Kirksey after their tie against the Colts in their last game.
 
 
"I don't think it was the wrong decision. I think he could make it. Obviously in hindsight, we didn't make it, but if we were in that situation again, I wouldn't doubt whatever he decided." - Russell Wilson after their loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Cooks, Brandin
WR Moore, Chris 
TE Brown, Pharaoh
QB Mills, Davis 
RB BURKHEAD, REX
FB Hairston, Troy 
 
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Hamler, KJ 
TE Okwuegbunam, Albert
QB WILSON, RUSSELL 
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Beck, Andrew 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Texans
Passing: D. Mills (240)
Rushing: R. Burkhead (40)
Receiving: B. Cooks (82)
Touchdowns: O. Howard (2)
 
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (340)
Rushing: M. Gordon III (58)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (102)
Touchdowns: J. Jeudy (1)
 
Coaches:
Houston Texans: Lovie Smith (1st season)
Denver Broncos: Nathaniel Hackett (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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